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AI technology

OpenAI CEO Sam Altman is looking for $7 trillion; that's $7,000 billion

You surely remember the scene from the movie The Social Network where Justin Timberlake, in his role as Sean Parker, says to Mark Zuckerberg, "A million dollars isn't cool. You know what's cool? A billion dollars.' Ah, what simple, innocent times those were, looking back now. The CEO of OpenAI, Sam Altman, who was kicked out of his own company just a few months ago, has only been back in office for a few weeks but is laughing at millions and billions: Altman is looking for seven trillion dollars. Or: seven thousand billion dollars. For an idea, not even for an existing company yet. What's going on?

The face of investors as soon as they hear the amount Sam Altman wants.
 

The Wall Street Journal reported on Thursday that Sam Altman, the CEO of OpenAI, is seeking five to seven trillion dollars to build a global network of chip factories. It was already rumored last year that Altman wanted to set up a chip factory competing with Nvidia under the code name Tigris, but at the time it was not suspected that trillions were involved. The now leaked seven trillion in numbers is 7,000,000,000,000,000, a seven with 12 zeros.

Wait, how much?

To put this in perspective, in 1995 the Internet hype started with Netscape's IPO, much to the dismay of the traditional investment market because the browser maker was not yet making a profit, even though it had millions of users of the popular browser Navigator. On opening day, Netscape raised $82.5 million with the stock sale.

So Altman wants to raise eighty-five thousand times more money from private investors for his idea, for that is all it apparently is yet, than Netscape fetched on the Nasdaq. Times are changing.

To make another attempt to indicate how much money is involved: Altman wants to raise more than a third of the GDP of the entire European Union, the second largest economy in the world, with $7 trillion. The GNP of this planet, by the way, is $88 trillion; Altman would like 8% of that, so he can make a nice clean start.

According to the Wall Street Journal, Altman is in talks with the United Arab Emirates sovereign wealth fund, among others, and then I suspect it's not Dubai, which is better at marketing than making money but the wealthy oil-producing Abu Dhabi. Primarily through its sovereign wealth fund, Mubadala, Abu Dhabi is looking for new sources of revenue as oil wells appear to be slowly but surely closing to retain a chance of a livable planet.

It is plausible that Altman is also swinging by the Emirates' friendly big neighbor, Saudi Arabia, which is gaining traction with the sovereign wealth fund PIF (note the windmills at the top of the page, apparently Saudi Arabia is famous for those). 

What do you spend 7 trillion on?

Altman seeks to address a critical bottleneck to OpenAI's growth: the scarcity of advanced graphics processors (GPUs) essential for training advanced AI models, such as his extremely popular ChatGPT. Despite the success of OpenAI and competitors such as Google Gemini and Anthropic, all of these billion-dollar companies are standing hat in hand at the doors of chipmaker Nvidia, whose lead as as maker of the best GPUs seems unsurmountable. But there's one thing: Nvidia can't handle the demand. And Altman doesn't want to be dependent on one supplier.

One of my New Year's resolutions was to judge people less in 2024, but people who are too cool to use capital letters don't make it easy for me

Altman announced on Twitter, a day before publication of the Wall Street Journal article:

"We believe the world needs more AI infrastructure - manufacturing capacity for fabs, energy, data centers, etc. - than people currently plan to build. Building AI infrastructure on a massive scale, and a resilient supply chain, is critical to economic competitiveness. OpenAI will try to help!" 

- Sam Altman

Solid plan or pipe dream?

His ambitious plan involves setting up a network of several dozen chip factories ("fabs") that would ensure a steady supply of the crucial chips not only for OpenAI but also for other customers worldwide. The plan involves cooperation between OpenAI, investors, chip manufacturers including market leader TSMC, data centers and power producers. Because without their own power plants, chip factories cannot operate on this scale.

What is striking about Altman's tweet is his specific mention of data centers. That means he not only plans to reduce his dependence on Nvidia, but also wants to get rid of his reliance on cloud-based solutions like Microsoft now runs for OpenAI and Google for Anthropic. Microsoft owns 49% of OpenAI's shares and was instrumental in allowing Altman to return to OpenAI after the Palace Revolution in November, so that will be an interesting issue to follow. 

If this initiative becomes a reality, it would mean that the AI industry and many other computing power-guzzling industries could realize their ambitions. But regardless of the money, it will result in a complex ownership structure where it is still unclear who will control and own the intellectual property, aside from all the chip factories, data centers and power plants.

Sustainability and geopolitics major challenges

Sam Altman's plan to radically scale up superchip manufacturing has significant sustainability implications. The environmental footprint of chip factories is significant; they are energy-intensive facilities that also require large amounts of water and produce harmful waste.

The unprecedented scale of Altman's idea would put enormous pressure on natural resources and energy networks. The environmental impact is compounded by the need for new power plants, which will increase CO2 emissions unless renewable energy sources are used exclusively. With financiers from the Middle East, that does not seem a reasonable priority.

Just last week, the Biden administration proudly announced a new initiative in which the U.S. is investing $5 billion in a public-private partnership aimed at supporting research and development in advanced computer chips. This initiative was completely drowned out by the WSJ article on Altman's plan.

President Biden's move underscores once again that the U.S. government recognizes the importance of high-performance chips, and therefore Altman's plan could quickly fuel geopolitical tensions. By attempting to expand chip production within a U.S.-led framework, China will surely respond, as it has also been explicitly pursuing high-end chips with Huawei playing a major role in recent years.

Superchips are a matter of national security and long-term economic growth. China will not stand idly by in the face of a concentration of production of these chips by US allies, possibly leading to retaliatory measures in which US companies and their partners will find it even more difficult to access the Chinese market. Altman's project therefore already casts the shadow of an intense trade war between China on the one hand and the U.S. and its allies on the other.

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AI technology

Is Bitcoin worth more than Tesla? And politicians worldwide struggle how to deal with AI.

Resurrected for the umpteenth time: Bitcoin had a record-breaking week.
Image taken with Midjourney.

Bitcoin is worth more than Tesla, Western politicians struggle with AI policies and Elon Musk wants to make banks obsolete with X, The Platform Formerly Known As Twitter (TPFKAT).

Bitcoin up 106% this year

Halfway through the week, the self-proclaimed Gaza experts were back to being crypto bros for a day and it was party time in crypto land as Bitcoin briefly crossed the $35,000 mark. The price has already risen 106% this year, leaving Bitcoin far ahead of the number two crypto, Ethereum; the leading blockchain-based development platform which rose "only" 49% this year.

Of the investments I follow in my completely arbitrary Spotlight 9, only the engine of the AI economy, Nvidia, outperformed Bitcoin this year: shares NVDA are up a whopping 183% so far in 2023. Meanwhile, Bitcoin's share price is hovering just above $34,000, but the price increase of over 13% over the past week is extraordinary.

The price rise was mainly due to the expectation that a Bitcoin ETF will be approved. So there was not even the approval of an ETF, but the expectation that one will be approved. (I wrote earlier about a Bitcoin ETF: It's like a weatherman saying, "tomorrow it could rain. That does require a change in the cloud cover first.')

Google is struggling to catch up in the AI race and published poor quarterly results. Bitcoin is its own parallel universe.
Graph created with Canva.

Bitcoin beats Tesla?

The unique combination of scarcity and tradability make Bitcoin a sought-after investment asset. Bitcoin is a scarce digital asset of which a maximum of 21 million will ever be made, and it is tradable 24 hours a day even from a cell phone. But Bitcoin's price is driven entirely by speculation and expectations. There is no underlying value, no company making anything on the basis of which future profits can be estimated.

There's nothing wrong with that per se, since people also invest in gold, trainers and whiskey; but of course we shouldn't start pretending that Bitcoin and corporations are comparable giants. Yet this week even the usually serious Coindesk went even further off track than a fifty-something at Amsterdam Dance Events on E by exuberantly headlining that "Bitcoin has overtaken the market value of Elon Musk's Tesla.

Crypto bros could also consider investing in sneakers, gold and whiskey.
Image created with Midjourney.

Indeed, at the current price, the value of all Bitcoins combined is over $700 billion, which is more than Tesla's market value (the price multiplied by the number of shares outstanding) of $650 billion. But Tesla has assets: it has patents, factories, staff, a sales network and a well-stocked order book. Bitcoin has the transparency of its blockchain and a value determined solely by supply and demand.

By the way, for Bitcoin fanatics, there is good reason to observe some modesty if they think Bitcoin is a better investment than Tesla. Here are the price gains over the last 5 years of Bitcoin compared to Nvidia, Ethereum and ... Tesla:

  • Bitcoin: 438%
  • Nvidia: 654%
  • Ethereum: 749%
  • Tesla: 798%

As I was typing this, it occurred to me that Elon Musk must keep track of this, and in my mind I can hear him chuckling.

Hamas did not get millions from crypto

Less funny was an article in the Wall Street Journal claiming that the sandblasted version of the SS had raised millions from crypto donations. It led to questions in the U.S. Congress while investigations showed that the report was total nonsense. The Wall Street Journal refused to retract the article and once again it appears that the low interest of serious media in the crypto world leads to poor reporting, misrepresentation and as a consequence poor policy making.  

Western leaders struggle with AI

Next week, President Biden and British Prime Minister Sunak are both making an effort to establish themselves as the most responsible world leaders on AI policy. Biden will do so by presenting an executive order on the use of AI and Sunak will hold a real world summit in a symbolic place.

Executive order of over 100 pages on AI

Someone who has read the Biden administration's long-awaited executive order on AI told VentureBeat that it is "the longest" he has ever seen, at more than 100 pages.

The presentation at the White House by President Biden is scheduled for Monday afternoon, during an event titled "Safe, Secure, and Trustworthy Artificial Intelligence." Choosing that name for an event about AI is as fitting as using "sociable, respectful and civilized" as a slogan for Twitter or "shy, sometimes petulant but always good-humored" for Hamas.   

Beautiful symbolism by the British

Next week, some 100 world leaders, tech bosses, academics and AI researchers will converge on England's Bletchley Park campus, once home to the codebreakers who played a crucial role during World War II. (Two movie tips on this topic: Enigma starring Kate Winslet, in the role of Kate Winslet but with glasses and set in World War II and The Imitation Game with a brilliant role by Benedict Cumberbatch as Alan Turing.)

'Their goal is to participate in discussions about how best to maximize the benefits of this powerful technology while minimizing the risks,' said the BBC in an article with the hysterical headline 'Can Rishi Sunak's big summit save us from AI nightmare?' Biden is not there, by the way; he is sending Vice President Kamala Harris. Of course, as a world leader, you're not going to hype someone else's AI summit by going there yourself. 

US and Singapore work on joint AI policy

Whereas the US and the UK excel mostly in one-liners and droll designations, Singapore earlier this year announced AI-Verify, a foundation with standardized tests for AI applications that helps companies and organizations use artificial intelligence (AI) "objectively and verifiably." Now Singapore and the U.S. will establish a joint group to promote transparency in AI implementations through technical and process audits.

That sounds boring, but is much more important than those meetings with politicians who don't even know the difference between AI and bad software. Because  standardized testing of AI applications makes it possible to assess the possibilities and dangers of AI in actual use. That will really benefit the world. I know the organizations that will determine and conduct these tests, NIST on behalf of the U.S. and IMDA on behalf of Singapore, and they are very capable. I have high expectations.

Google invests up to $2 billion into OpenAI rival Anthropic

Google 's parent company Alphabet has invested $500 million in artificial intelligence company Anthropic, rival to OpenAI (maker of ChatGPT) and has pledged to invest another $1.5 billion over time.

Google is already an investor in Anthropic, and the new investment should help Anthropic compete with OpenAI's ChatGPT, which is backed by Microsoft. Amazon said last month that it would invest up to $4 billion in Anthropic.

Thus a titanic battle seems to be brewing between two camps: on one side Anthropic, backed by Google and Amazon, and on the other side OpenAI, backed by Microsoft. Despite all the covenants, summits and press conferences by folks such as President Macron, Prime Minister Sunak and President Xi Jinping, the AI market seems to have become a party as American as Thanksgiving Day. Wait, bad example: as American as Fourth of July.

There is simply no other country where so many billions are being invested in the necessary development. Because development of AI does not require millions, as in the good old days, but tens of billions.

Energy consumption of AI a growing problem

"Powering AI can consume as much electricity as a small country."

Dutch researcher Alex de Vries published an interesting article on the growing energy consumption of AI applications. Previously, De Vries published similar analyses on Bitcoin on his site. His analysis aligns with my view that traditional air cooling has reached its limits, which is why I was so excited about iXora's liquid cooling last week.

Around the breakthrough of AI, I see exactly the same pattern as with the breakthrough of the Internet in the 1990s and a little later with mass acceptance of the cell phone. The core criticism is always, "but what does this mean for copyright/proliferation of terror/education of our blood children/our contact with the elderly. Take your pick.

I estimate that it will take at most two weeks for the Western media to realize that this De Vries is touching on a very click-worthy subject with this and start publishing semi-critical pieces on the energy use of AI.

Because if you don't understand much about an innovation, the best thing you can do as a journalist is to be very critical for safety's sake so you can always say later that you have always been skeptical.

Elon Musk owns Twitter for a year now

The Verge was sent audio recordings where Musk tells his team that Twitter, or X as he has dubbed it,will offer full banking services before the end of next year. Meanwhile, X introduced two new subscriptions in an effort to generate more revenue as ad revenue continues to decline.

That's one of four problems the BBC sees at X. It's hard to take that analysis seriously when the British broadcaster also posts this sentence: "What we know for sure is a lot of big names have left the platform over the last year, including Elton John and Gigi Hadid." What you see in this is that the BBC does not understand the order: if the audience leaves, the people who have something to sell also leave. And not the other way around.

Instagram, Snapchat and TikTok did not break through because celebrities were on them; those celebrities created accounts after their management understood that the platforms offered a free communication channel with a mass audience without the intervention of traditional media.

Finally, two special links

At a time when so many children in areas like the Middle East and Ukraine have no chance to live normal lives and reach their potential, it is particularly sad to see someone who seemed to have everything at a young age, like Matthew Perry, who sadly passed away much too soon yesterday, struggle for decades to make it to the next day.

We know Perry mostly as Chandler from Friends. In an old interview with Conan O'Brien, we see him as himself when he tells a hilarious anecdote.

Still, I want to end on a positive note. Developer Prabhjot Singh created a device on the bargain-priced Raspberry Pi that can convert sign language into speech and convert speech into sign language, using a robotic hand. With the device, anyone can communicate with people who only know sign language. In this video, Singh shows how it works. Unfortunately, the sound is poor, but the way it works is clear!

Categories
AI crypto technology

Zuck boring in 3D, U2 incredible in the Sphere and Altman and Ive with the "iPhone for AI"?

What a week in tech: Mark Zuckerberg talked with Lex Fridman in 3D, U2 was incredible in the Sphere in Las Vegas, Sam Altman and Jony Ive could be working on an "iPhone for AI," Amazon is putting billions into AI, Spotify is translating podcasts into all kinds of languages and Taylor Swift was in a football stadium. And oh, I almost forgot: French authorities raided an Nvidia office.

The Sphere: Find U2 in this concert venue that feels like you're inside a giant virtual reality headset. Source: The Sphere on Instagram.

U2 opened the Sphere - and how!

First, the most striking images from last week. U2 on Friday opened the Sphere in Las Vegas, the spectacular event space that cost a whopping $2.3 billion. With a height of 112 meters and a maximum width of 157 meters, the Sphere has a total area of 81,300 square meters, making it the largest spherical building in the world.

Visitors to U2's opening concert seem unanimously enthusiastic about the Sphere on social media. Obviously, a cell phone does not offer a good impression of the experience of seeing thousands of square feet of screen around the band in 16K resolution , but even so, the images of Where The Streets Have No Name and With Or Without You were impressive. The sound also seemed to be outstanding, quite useful at a concert and yet often overlooked. My brother was there and is so excited that he immediately bought tickets for the final concert of U2's twenty-five-concert residency at the Sphere.

Three versions of Mark Zuckerberg and all three are emotionless. Eerily realistic. Source: Lex Fridman podcast.

Zuckerberg and Fridman were not exactly winning souls for the Metaverse

Lex Fridman once again had Meta chief Mark Zuckerberg as a guest on his podcast, and this time the conversation took place in an unusual way. Both wore the Quest Pro VR headset and were not in the same room, but hundreds of miles apart. Yet the conversation looked and felt lifelike. The picture quality exceeded my expectations.

At the same time, the gentlemen's podcast painfully exposed the Achilles' heel of this technology. Spending so much effort, time and money to create a realistic avatar of someone's face and then spend an hour schmoozing with each other is the digital version of shooting a mosquito with an F-35 or putting on a princess dress to drop your kid off at kindergarten: it can be done, but it's a tad over the top.

I do not get the impression that people are so eager for higher image quality from their video calls that they are willing to put on VR glasses. Meta's technology looks like a technology in search of an application. If Steven Schnaars wrote his phenomenal book "Megamistakes: Forecasting and the Myth of Rapid Technological Change" now rather than in 1987, he would certainly devote a chapter to the Metaverse aspirations of Zuckerberg, who keeps trying to make VR a common conversational experience, rather than being happy that it already provides a brilliant experience in online games, a billion-dollar industry.

The French invasion 

There were so many developments in the AI field this week that they seemed hard to pinpoint, until it was announced that French authorities on Tuesday had raided "a maker of graphics cards." And by that they did not mean those parchment scrolls that Napoleon marched toward Moscow with, but Nvidia's highly sought-after chipsets needed for the current generation of AI applications.

The official position is that European governments are trying to control the actions of Big Tech companies in thwarting competition. And let those Big Tech companies just happen to all be American; they are Apple, Meta, Google, Amazon and Microsoft, and as of this week, Nvidia may also count itself among this list of companies suspected by Europe.

It appears the French authorities may be looking for mischief in all the wrong places. In fact, the whole AI playfield has become much more complex than it seems, with all the players smilingly shaking hands and tripping each other up at the same time.

In AI you compete your customer and supplier to death

Seen from the "bottom up," AI is a whole separate industry. Nvidia is the undisputed king of shovels and pickaxes: Microsoft, Google and Amazon all buy billions worth of Nvidia chips for their cloud services.

But since those companies announced they wanted to reduce their dependence on Nvidia and are developing their own AI chips, Nvidia has begun investing in AI startups that compete directly with Microsoft, Google and Amazon. Nvidia is doing so partly with money and partly by putting these startups at the top of the customer list for its sought-after and scarce AI chips.

Nvidia's hope is that these startups, such as Coreweave and Lambda Lambs, take market share away from the big three so that Nvidia can continue to supply as many chips to this sector as possible.

Those who now think that Nvidia and, say, Google can drink each other's blood will have watched with raised eyebrows as Nvidia and Google recently jubilantly announced a new collaboration to improve Google Cloud.

Alphabet CEO Sundar Pichai even said less than three weeks ago that Google and Nvidia will still be working together a decade from now. Partnerships in AI are sort of like open marriages where you express that you love each other immensely, but leave your profile open on Tinder, always ready for the swipe.

The key question before European authorities is whether it is illegal for Nvidia to try to make their current customers' competitors more powerful. Expensively paid anti-trust lawyers are rubbing their manicured hands with delight.

It continues to rain AI billions

Amazon announced that it is investing as much as $4 billion in Anthropic for a minority stake, with the intention that Anthropic will use the cloud services of Amazon's AWS, the world's largest cloud provider. It's buying market share in a disguised way, but in a potentially smart way, because it's not out of the question that Amazon is going to make hefty profits on the shares in Anthropic.

Character.AI, a startup that offers chatbots that can mimic virtually anyone (one popular bot is Super Mario, including a very sad version of an Italian dialect), is in the process of raising hundreds of millions of dollars in new funding round that could value the company at more than $5 billion, according to insiders. Usually, those anonymous sources are the founders themselves, who thus put pressure on investors and semi-openly shop the deal around.

That $4 billion in Anthropic and $5 billion valuation of Character.ai are small beer for market leader OpenAI, which is seeking a $90 billion valuation in a deal in which executives sell some of their shares. This valuation is as much as three times higher than ... six months ago, when OpenAI raised $300 million on a valuation of $29 billion.

Entirely coincidentally, Mistral is launching its first model

I find it a bit suspicious that the raid by French authorities on Nvidia occurs the week that the French pride in AI, Mistral, presented its first model claiming that it outperformed one of Meta's smaller models, the Llama 2 13B. (By the way, can't anyone at Meta come up with better names than Llama 2 13B? Maybe Zuckerberg can ask someone on Fiverr for help.)

Naturally, Meta could not just let that happen and spread the word that Llama 2 Long AI (another delicious name) outperformed OpenAI's GPT 3.5 Turbo and Claude 2, Anthropic's product that just raised that $4 billion from Amazon.

'The AI race is weird'

The Information rightly concluded; "It makes me wonder what race all these companies think they are running. So far, it seems to be mostly about money and distribution. Technology seems to be coming together more and more, meaning that the winners are not necessarily those with the best technology, but those who figure out how to get the most money out of it.

And that race will certainly favor incumbents such as Google, Microsoft, Amazon and Meta, whose existing products already make billions. No wonder OpenAI is seriously considering building a device. If it continues like this, it will take a new wedge to really open the battle."

The "iPhone for AI"?

Indeed, the Financial Times reported Thursday that ChatGPT maker OpenAI is in advanced talks with legendary former Apple designer Jony Ive and SoftBank's Masayoshi Son to build the "iPhone of artificial intelligence," backed by more than $1 billion in funding from the Japanese conglomerate.

Jony Ive was Steve Jobs' favorite designer, spent more than two decades at Apple and led the design of the brightly colored iMacs that helped Apple rise from a near-death experience in the 1990s, as well as the design of the iPhone.

The news of the possible collaboration between Ive and Altman, funded by Son, was widely reported worldwide, but I missed reflections on what kind of device an "AI hardware device" should be. I can't imagine it, because smartphones have already become so powerful and have an installed base of billions.

ChatGPT more current and learning to see, listen and speak

In all the financial news, you would almost forget that major improvements to products are being introduced at lightning speed.

ChatGPT reported last week, "Voice and image give you more ways to use ChatGPT in your life. Snap a picture of a landmark while traveling and have a live conversation about what’s interesting about it. When you’re home, snap pictures of your fridge and pantry to figure out what’s for dinner (and ask follow up questions for a step by step recipe). After dinner, help your child with a math problem by taking a photo, circling the problem set, and having it share hints with both of you."

(I conclude from this that ChatGPT is not yet trained in the life of a childless man living in Singapore and Bali, where hawker centers, warungs and food delivery services dominate daily life.)

A major objection to ChatGPT was the lack of current data, as the model had previously only been trained with data through September 2021. It was announced this week that ChatGPT will become topical, meaning that some premium users will be able to ask the chatbot questions about current affairs and access news. OpenAI said the feature would soon be available to all users.

At the time of writing, Oct. 1, none of the listed features are available to me and ChatGPT's training data ends in January 2022. Hopefully this will change soon.

Spotlight 9: Ethereum wins again and is Microsoft underrated?

A volatile picture this week: Amazon, Apple and the S&P 500 fell, while Nvidia and Ethereum rose sharply.

It is downright striking how little serious coverage is given to the important blockchain development platform Ethereum, especially compared to the panting coverage of AI companies.

With all the hubbub surrounding AI, it does make sense that Wall Street is finally starting to see that Microsoft's stake in OpenAI could affect Microsoft stock.

For two reasons: first, purely financial, because if Microsoft actually owns 49% of OpenAI's shares, that stake currently represents a value of $44 billion. Out of Microsoft's $2.35 trillion ($2,350 billion) market value, that's less than 2%, but there are days when yours truly doesn't have it lying around.

In addition, OpenAI uses Microsoft's Azure platform so that, with OpenAI's billion-dollar spending on these cloud services, Microsoft is also earning heavily from OpenAI again.

Fortune reported in January that in exchange for the $10 billion investment in OpenAI, Microsoft also obtained the right to 75% of OpenAI's profits until it recouped those $10 billion; plus an additional $3 billion it had already invested in the company in previous years. Don't let the French authorities hear it or they'll be invading Microsoft's office for a morning coffee too - with croissant.

Quick takes on other news

Spotify is going to clone and translate podcasters' voices

The results are surprisingly good. For example, this is Lex Fridman in Spanish talking to Yuval Noah Harari, who suddenly sounds more like a Spanish flamenco dancer rather than an Israeli historian.

Crypto startup school A16Z open for spring

Renowned investment fund Andreessen Horowitz is opening the Crypto Startup School (CSS), a 12-week acceleration program in London for startups that offers expert guidance, capital and resources tailored to crypto founders.

Strange interview with the new Twitter CEO

Linda Yaccarino seemed frustrated and upset during an interview that was at times strange, uncertain and confrontational. Someday I'll get used to the fact that Twitter is now called X, but not yet.

Asian Games gold ticket: South Korea's Esports stars aim for medal success

With a gold medal in Street Fighter or FIFA, South Korean men have a chance to be exempted from military service. I searched to see if exemption was also given to winners of Grand Theft Auto, but alas. It would be a bit absurd if you could avoid military service by committing high-speed casualties in a mall in GTA.

A revelation about trees calls climate calculations into question

Scientists are learning more about "sesquiterpenes," vapors from trees that could make clouds, cooling the earth. "It's a feedback loop, the climate affects cloud formation, and the clouds affect the climate."

Skiff is an email service and collaboration tool with end-to-end encryption

A very striking, privacy-sensitive version of Google Cloud, with the best privacy statement I've seen: in plain human and lawyer language.

Taylor Swift knows a football player

If social media is to be believed, football player Travis Kelce is said to be reaping huge rewards from his liaison with La TayTay; Taylor Swift. I looked on his Instagram and Tiktok and saw an increase from less than half a million followers to 3.6 million, so it's not too wild. By comparison, Swift has 273 million followers. Funny, though: the meme where wives filmed their husbands telling hubby with a serious face that it was so sweet of Swift that she had put Superbowl winner "Kelce on the map". This man's dismay, combined with his self-control, is commendable.

Categories
AI crypto technology

The journalist who became a billionaire as an investor, quits

This week a couple of human interest stories stood out. The richest Welshman, Sir Michael Moritz, who as a journalist at Time was once blacklisted by Steve Jobs, left Sequoia Capital after nearly 40 years. And while CEO Sam Altman traveled the earth meeting world leaders, OpenAI turned out to be led by Mira Murati, a virtually unknown 35-year-old Albanian woman.

Image: Midjourney. Prompt: man with gray hair walks away, San Francisco skyline in background.

The little kingdom

The first time I came across the name Michael Moritz was in 1992 when Frans Straver, with whom I would later found Planet Internet, and I were graduating together from the University of Amsterdam on the sexy subject of "success and failure factors of interactive media in the consumer market. At that time, only mustachioed accountants had computers and only the bigger drug dealers used cell phones.

If you were looking for a serious book about the computer industry, there was nowhere to turn but the American Book Center in Amsterdam. There we found the fantastic book, which by then was almost a decade old, by Moritz, entitled "The Little Kingdom," about how Steve Jobs developed the Mac at Apple in the early 1980s.

"So much of what has happened is connected to Apple and the story of this extraordinary company that I find that Apple's breadcrumbs have been strewn across my life's path," said Moritz, who regrets that he never settled his spat with Jobs before his death. The book planted the seed in Frans and me that it was possible for two young guys to set up a successful company in the technology world, something we had never considered until reading Moritz's book.

Of course, when I moved to America in the late 1990s for my next startup after Planet Internet, Moritz was the first investor on whose door I knocked. Tried to knock on the door actually, because I never got beyond the inbox of the intern of the assistant of the junior associate at Sequoia who kindly declined me. Later I understood that Sequoia, and Moritz in particular, received thousands of business plans a year during that dotcom boom but made only a few dozen investments.

From Airbnb to Zoom

Michael Moritz was born in Wales to Jewish parents who had fled the rise of the Nazis in Germany. He was stationed in San Francisco for many years as a Time journalist and wrote widely about the world of technology. Don Valentine, the founder of Sequoia and the man who invested in Apple, Atari, Cisco, Oracle and Electronic Arts, among others, saw something in the British journalist and offered him the chance to work as an investor.

Over the next 38 years Moritz worked for Sequoia, the investment company strung together successes. Under his reign, Sequoia invested in virtually every company whose apps we have on our phones or computers today, or which we use for work directly or indirectly, including Google, Dropbox, Linkedin, Yahoo, Airbnb, PayPal, Instagram, YouTube, Whatsapp, Nvidia, Zoom and OpenAI.

In one of his rare interviews, Moritz said:

"One of the things that is undervalued in our industry is how much you can learn from someone decades younger than you. Those are the people who might go on to do unusual things; they understand something very well, are independent thinkers and obviously smart and gifted."

Early this century, Moritz also initiated Sequoia's lucrative expansion into China. He was chairman of Sequoia from the mid-1990s until 2012, when he relinquished day-to-day management of the company due to "a rare medical condition that is treatable but incurable." Still, he remained a partner of Sequoia until his announced departure this week.

In recent years, Moritz apparently focused more on e-commerce and led Sequoia's investments in Stripe (estimated valuation $50 billion), Klarna ($6.7 billion), Instacart ($12 billion) and Getir ($6.5 billion). He will gradually transfer positions on the supervisory boards of those companies.

A hefty crank start

Forbes estimates Moritz's wealth at $5.2 billion, thanks largely to his holdings in Internet companies. Moritz and his wife donate most of it to charities, mainly through their own foundation, Crankstart. They are in quite a hurry to do so, judging by the report on the website:

"In 2022, we awarded $200 million in grants, 60 percent of which were to nonprofit organizations in the San Francisco Bay Area. The grants ranged in size from $1,000 to $18,500,000 and went to 363 organizations."

Other eye-catching donations included $20 million to the American civil rights movement ACLU, $50 million to his alma mater the University of Oxford, and no less than £75 million to the same university to spend on scholarships for children from low-income families. Moritz had not lost sight of the fact that he himself had once enjoyed a scholarship.

What I personally found remarkable was that Moritz is funding the famed literary Booker Prize through Crankstart for at least five years, after the previous sponsor pulled out. But unlike that sponsor, Moritz did not want to attach any name recognition to his donation because he and his wife believe that the Booker Prize is a prestigious award that should be associated with the name of the prize, not the name of the sponsor.

The similarities between Steve Jobs and Sir Alex Ferguson

In 2009, Moritz released a revised version of his book on Apple entitled "The Return to the Little Kingdom: Steve Jobs, the Creation of Apple and How It Changed the World. The book remains highly recommended for anyone interested in innovation and creativity.

To my surprise, Moritz, still a die-hard Manchester United fan despite having lived in San Francisco for nearly half a century, wrote a book on leadership with legendary manager Sir Alex Ferguson in 2015.

In an interview about that book, Moritz shared some observations about the similarities between Steve Jobs and Sir Alex:

"When it comes to leadership, I think there are similarities. In their own way, they are both perfectionists. With Sir Alex, I was looking for a way to explain what I think are the basic principles of good leadership. I don't think they are very different between Silicon Valley and the soccer field, and they are universally applicable. The problem with the principles of leadership is that they are pretty easy to list, but very difficult to apply.

Sir Alex, Steve, they both had the energy to consistently push, urge, persuade others toward a goal that they themselves envisioned. I think the big difference between management and leadership is that the leader can persuade people to do the impossible."

Time for a new book?

Things get even more interesting when Moritz shares his own investment criteria. "When I want to invest I start with a market opportunity, because if a company starts in a market that looks unchanging and doesn't look like it's going to grow, it's not going to be a great company. Furthermore, we are looking for people who are completely obsessed. People who love nothing more than to work on the product or service they have come up with."

In the Netherlands, many investors employ the archaic cliché "it's about the guy, not the tent"; but Moritz cites as the first criterion precisely a large market, prone to change. That's an interesting angle. A top entrepreneur in a small market is not so interesting in this view.

And that begs the question of whether Moritz, time and health permitting, would like to write a book for the first time sharing his own views on entrepreneurship, innovation and leadership, rather than writing about people like Jobs and Ferguson.

My favorite book for tech entrepreneurs is "The Hard Thing About Hard Things: Building a business when there are no easy answers' by former entrepreneur Ben Horowitz, now best known as co-founder of venture capital firm Andreessen Horowitz.

Horowitz is an exception, because just as many former top athletes turn out to be bad coaches, few successful entrepreneurs manage to develop into good investors. Let me stick to myself: when people ask me for advice on investing, I always reply that although I worked as an investor for many years, I never said I was good at it. That's why I became an entrepreneur again.

Moritz, now knighted Sir Michael, has no entrepreneurial experience whatsoever. Apparently, that was no impediment to achieving extreme success as an investor. It is high time someone with his amazing track record, huge network and sharp pen, shared his knowledge and experience in the form of a new book.

The driving force behind OpenAI is a 35-year-old Albanian woman

Founder and CEO of OpenAI Sam Altman visited as many as 22 countries in recent weeks including Israel, Jordan, Qatar, the United Arab Emirates, India, South Korea, Japan, Singapore, Indonesia and Australia. Altman met with students, venture capitalists and leaders including Indian Prime Minister Modi, South Korean President Yoon Suk Yeol and Israeli President Herzog. Earlier in his trip, Altman met with British Prime Minister Sunak, German Chancellor Scholz and French President Macron. (Remember, with dark brown shoes?)

The subject of all the conversations was the question: can AI be trusted, or are government measures needed? So it was instant news when Reuters saw Friday on the LinkedIn page of OpenAI's "Trust & Safety Leader" Dave Willner that he had left quietly after a year and a half. Willner talked about family reasons, which of course is possible.

But I also note that according to his LinkedIn profile, with 18 months of employment, Willner has already secured a sizable number of options in OpenAI, which at the estimated company valuation of $27 to $29 billion for OpenAI are worth enough that the Willner family's life would not be significantly improved if he stayed with the company for another year or so. After all, the difference in quality of life between earning 10,000 Euros or 20,000 Euros is far greater, than the difference between 10 million or 20 million in the bank.

Until a successor is found, Willner's team (apparently there is a Trust & Safety team at OpenAI) is managed by the CTO, Mira Murati. Who is this woman, who is still completely unknown on ChatGPT itself?

Mira Murati? Doesn't ring a bell, ChatGPT says of its own boss.

CEO Magazine came out with a portrait of Mira Murati last week. Although, portrait; from the lack of a posed photo and the absence of literal quotes from Murati, it may be concluded that she had not collaborated on the article.

Although Murati is unknown on her own ChatGPT, the competitor, Google Bard, does have some information about her:

"Mira Murati is the Chief Technology Officer of OpenAI. She is a brilliant engineer who has worked on several AI projects, including ChatGPT, Dall-E and Codex. She is also an advocate for the regulation of AI because she believes it is important to take precautions to prevent the misuse of AI.

Murati was born in Albania and studied mechanical engineering at Dartmouth College. She then worked as an intern at Goldman Sachs and Zodiac Aerospace before joining Tesla as Senior Product Manager of the Model X. In 2016, she joined Leap Motion. In 2018, she joined OpenAI and was promoted to CTO in 2021."

There are several things remarkable about this. First, Murati's description on Bard is almost literally identical to the one in the CEO Magazine article. That raises the question of which source had the original information and which source clumsily copied it? It's fodder for lawyers in the AI world, where real and fake or original and copy seem completely interchangeable.

Second, Murati must be something of a prodigy, because it is rare for someone with the study of mechanical engineering to make a career in software so quickly. One study is about how, for example, the Tesla X is put together, the other about the software that makes the car self-driving.

Third, it appears that Murati moved to Canada from Albania at the age of 16. I asked Bard if Murati moved alone, or with her parents. Bard replied that 'Murati and her husband Sokol fled to Canada with their two children in 1993.' But in 1993, Mira Murati was five years old, which is also on the early side in Albania to have already started a family. In short; there is still a lot to improve on Google's AI activities.

Murati and Moritz: America first

There is a striking parallel in the lives of Mira Murati and Michael Moritz. Both came to America from a small European country, where they had the opportunity to expand their knowledge at excellent universities and then to exploit their potential in top companies.

I am not saying that every Ethiopian is a potential top entrepreneur or that there is a brain surgeon hiding in every refugee from Aleppo, but in the month when a cabinet falls in the Netherlands over a few thousand additional immigrants a year, I do argue for a rational immigration policy. Europe is old, so is Asia; several continents are aging rapidly. At the same time, there are people in previously unexpected places who can contribute much to the world, if only they are given the chance.

Of course, my perspective is colored, because I too once came through an exchange and scholarship from Amsterdam to a university in San Francisco, where I first saw the Internet. Moritz and Murati came to the San Francisco Bay Area from Wales and Albania. But where in Europe or Asia would they have been as welcome as there? And where would their origins play such a minor role? What European or Asian venture capitalist would give a journalist a chance as an investor, or a young Albanian woman the technical leadership of a billion-dollar company like OpenAI? That should make entrepreneurs, voters and policymakers think.

Spotlight 9: Ripple continues to amaze, but for how long?

The chart is not upside down; there were only declines among the leading investments in the tech sector except for Ripple.

It was a week full of sadness and gloom in the tech corner of the stock markets. But where I expected a correction to Ripple's huge price jump after last week's court ruling, XRP remained fairly stable while the other major crypto currencies, Bitcoin and Ethereum, both fell.

So I downloaded from Coinmarketcap the XRP price data for the last 30 days and asked OpenAI's Code Interpreter to plot the price against trading volume. From there, this interesting graph rolled out:

The red line indicates the trading volume, the blue line the price.

Trading volume in XRP has declined dramatically over the last week, following a huge spike in the days immediately following the court ruling. The falling blue line representing the price now parallels the red line of falling trading volume.

That means the price can no longer be driven by increasing demand. Investors who believe in XRP are holding on. But not enough new buyers are entering the market at the current price to offset the number of sell orders. A further correction of XRP seems inevitable.

And bad news for crypto enthusiasts: anyone who bought XRP a year ago should certainly be happy with a 105% rise. But that's still a lot less than the 160% price jump Nvidia made in the last year, driven by the AI hype that requires strong processors.

Notable links this week

The White House on Friday invited representatives of seven leading companies in the AI field and announced a covenant of sorts with them, in which the companies pledged, among other things, to add digital watermarks to their systems. (So if all goes well, we'll soon know who had copied the text from whom about Mira Murati: Bard or CEO Magazine?)

The participating companies have been regular topics in this spot in recent weeks, namely Microsoft (with Bing), Google(Bard), OpenAI(ChatGPT), Anthropic(Claude), Inflection(Pi), Amazon and Meta(LLaMA).

In effect, Meta is thereby acknowledging OpenAI's lead and, by making its technology open source, hopes to attract so many developers from outside the company that it can still catch up with LLaMA 2. A smart strategy by Meta, which is distinctive from the closed AI platforms of OpenAI and Google.

It continues to be amazing how quickly AI applications are improving. After text and photos, now it's video's turn, and Twitter user Nathan Lands shared a nice overview.

Two weeks ago, I described my doubts about Mark Zuckerberg's jubilation about his new app Threads, the AliExpress version of Twitter. Granted, because of Instagram's installed base, hundreds of millions of people will try Threads. But the app is too sloppy, boring and predictable to generate much repeated use unless improvements are made to the app quickly.

This journalist explains in great detail all the shortcomings of Threads. A good point: why is there only an app for cell phones and Threads cannot be used on a computer, if the platform is about text messages? I wonder how long it will be before the first significant updates are released by Meta, because it would be good if a serious competitor to Twitter emerges.

Christopher Nolan and Hoyte van Hoytema literally and figuratively make great films

In all the digital opulence, film writer and director Christopher Nolan is a blessing. He filmed the masterpiece Oppenheimer on 70 millimeter IMAX film and does not use Computer Generated Images (CGI) in his films. This video shows how the film is literally pasted together from fifty-three rolls of film of three minutes and twenty-four seconds each. In total, the film, which has a duration of three hours and nine seconds, is 17.7 kilometers long and weighs 272 kilograms. That's another entertainment experience than watching Love Island on your iPhone.

Nolan finds CGI "too safe, the image does not seem to contain the threat of, say, a real explosion, however small.' He shoots on film because it most closely resembles the image the human eye perceives. That and more can be seen in this video in which Robert Downey Jr and Christopher Nolan answer the most frequently asked questions on the web about them.

For those of you who are going to see Oppenheimer in theaters next week; go to the IMAX and I'd love to hear how you liked it.

Happy Sunday!

Categories
AI crypto NFTs technology

Two Dutch startups with a global market

I don't normally write about my own work, preferring to try to share background, tips and insights that I hope will be of use to you as a reader. But because it is often asked for, this time I like to tell you about two investments I am excited about. Of course, I also cover notable things in the tech world, such as the jubilant crypto world about Ripple, Elon Musk's new AI company, traffic jam dodging by drone and Lionel Messi's deal with Apple. But now first, iXora and Unveil.

Ede-based iXora has developed a form of liquid cooling technology(immersion cooling) that allows data centers to save more than 30% in energy and space, because it eliminates the need for fans as with the usual air cooling of computers. And the latest generation of chips gets so hot that air cooling becomes too inefficient and expensive, but also socially unacceptable given the CO2 emissions. That makes the market potential of iXora huge worldwide.

Amsterdam-based Unveil links top photographers to collectors through its own marketplace based on blockchain technology. Through a careful curation process, collectors worldwide find new high-quality work in a user-friendly way. Collectors can buy the physical work, a print, a digital version in the form of an NFT, or both. Unveil can play a crucial role in the explosion of AI-generated fakes; it guarantees authenticity.

I have previously worked with these entrepreneurs with great pleasure and success, their companies are forerunners in fast growing global markets and sustainability is an important part of their proposition. And not unimportantly, there is also an opportunity for you to participate as an investor even with a small amount, whereas this is usually reserved only for vc funds with very deep pockets.

Please note that this is not an advertisement for investing in these companies. I explain what my considerations were for investing, but I want to emphasize that investing in startups has the very highest form of risk. Simply put, my advice is: only do it with money you could lose. And above all, do it because you support the companies' goals.

Why does Warren Buffett store in the Veluwe?

Earlier this year at CES in Las Vegas, iXora signed a licensing deal with the American company Lubrizol, a subsidiary of Berkshire Hathaway, the investment company of the legendary Warren Buffett. Why would such a global player license technology from a Dutch startup?

Hypotherm Rack Management (HRM) from iXora. Server in and done. Crucial: fits into a standard 19-inch rack, the standard in data centers worldwide.

The answer is that huge demand for energy-saving solutions has accelerated worldwide since de Russia's invasion of Ukraine the helmeted Russian neighbor visit. On top of that, energy consumption in data centers plays an extremely large role, because next to real estate and equipment, energy costs are the biggest expense. Data centers are still full of energy-guzzling fans, which will become obsolete with iXora's liquid cooling.

When using the iXora solution, a data center can accommodate more servers per square foot, with lower energy costs and therefore a reduced carbon footprint. Add to this the huge increase to cloud and streaming services in recent years and the current explosion of AI applications, making it irreversible that heavy server-intensive applications will dominate the market. Conclusion: immersion cooling is hot.

Own experience with data centers

My personal experience with data centers goes way back, for example, I was a very satisfied customer with Flabber and 925 for many years with the innovative hosting company True. (Jort Kelder and I even shot a lightly humorous movie in their data center 15 years ago.) So when True founder Vincent Houwert, after selling True and some wanderings in the Caribbean, couldn't resist getting back into business and started iXora, I was immediately interested.

With Planet Internet, I have been a customer and reseller of data center services for many years, and in the process I have experienced, through trial and error, how complex data centers operate. Although it is a multi-billion dollar business, it is one in which every dime is turned over. I always compare data centers to drinking water from the tap: everyone needs it and uses it, but every penny spent on it is a penny too much so the margins are thin.

Data center owners hate risks and opaque investments. This is precisely why I find iXora so interesting: it is the only party in the world that enables immersion cooling in the existing infrastructure of a data center.

In a billion-dollar market, of course, there are plenty of competitors, but they either only cool the chip, leaving the rest of the motherboard to give off heat and fans remain necessary, or their solutions require the installation of entire jacuzzis into which the servers are submerged.

But I know from experience that data center owners have a huge aversion to this kind of geekiness, because there is a chance of leaking fluids into their data centers where miles of cables run under the raised floors. And no one wants to use robotic arms to hoist a server out of such a bathtub, which is necessary just to replace a simple hard drive.

iXora's solution is deliberately designed for easy installation and maintenance. Nothing robotic arm or bathtub: an iXora chassis fits into the globally common 19-inch rack, and anyone who can lift a computer can slide a server into an iXora HRM.

The team knows the customer

That simplicity in the solution is rooted in the experience of the iXora team, which has literally and figuratively grown up in data centers. Besides inventor Vincent Houwert, who previously founded hosting company True, iXora's founders are CEO Job Witteman, previously founder and 17-year CEO of the Amsterdam Internet Exchange AMS-IX, and CCO Vincent Beek, who has decades of commercial experience in the international technology world. And Erwin Bleeker joined iXora in February as Compute Specialist after spending a few years at Dell explaining how a data center works ;-).

iXora webinar Thursday, June 20

More information about the opportunity to participate in iXora is in this two-page summary. Investing is possible from as little as €5,000 and depending on your contribution there is a bonus of up to 30%. If you want to know more about iXora, I recommend watching the webinar next Thursday, July 20 at 8 p.m. in which CEO Job Witteman explains what iXora does with immersion cooling. why it is important for the world and how you can contribute to .

The Manhattan Project by Andrea Camiolo. Unveil guarantees the creator and the number of copies, in this case a series of three.

Unveil cures what is real, in the age of fake

I write a lot about AI because it is the market in which the most progress is currently being made, with the largest potential market, which is virtually every earthling. At the same time, I worry about how AI will make it possible to manipulate all forms of sight and sound.

As you may know, I have a great love for photography, a passion that unfortunately comes with a commensurate lack of talent. My former colleague Alexander Sporre with whom I worked at business site 925, though, is a talented photographer. But Alexander is also a talented entrepreneur, and he and a number of partners have jumped into a big hole in the market with Unveil.

I believe in Unveil's proposition, in the explosion of AI-generated photos, to act as a beacon and marketplace of originality and authenticity.

What makes Unveil unique?

The developments in the field of AI are so rapid that there is a huge need worldwide for an independent party to guarantee the authenticity of digital work. Without such an independent party as Unveil, it is already no longer possible to tell whether a photo is real, or generated with AI.

Third generation marketplace

I see Unveil as a third-generation marketplace. In the first form, marketplaces were generic, think Marktplaats in the Netherlands and Craigslist in America, with a large unfiltered supply. (Both, by the way, bought by eBay for hundreds of millions.) The second generation marketplaces were a curated part of a large generic offering, think Uber Black and Airbnb Plus, or the Dutch Catawiki, effectively a curated version of eBay. 

In the latest generation of marketplaces, of which Unveil is a forerunner, you will only see a carefully curated, high-level offering with a select small group of providers, who are often exclusively affiliated with a platform. Unveil has already attracted over 1,500 photographers, including a large number of top international photographers such as Bastiaan Woudt and Paul Cupido.

Global market, always traceable

Unveil connects digital art with physical prints on the blockchain, making art photography traceable as a globally tradable product, with the goal of providing royalties to the creator on the one hand and guaranteeing to the collector that the work purchased is authentic, with guarantees about the number produced. This solves a huge problem worldwide.

Proven business model: marketplace

From a financial perspective, it is crucial that the business model of a marketplace is proven and highly profitable, especially in this market, based on a 12.5% commission. Such a solid commission combined with the prices that renowned photographers receive for their work offers very good prospects for Unveil.

The team

Besides Chief Product Officer Alexander Sporre (ex-Richemont, co-founder Stories, art photographer), Unveil's founders are also Chief Commercial Officer Titus de Jong (ex-Salesforce, ex-HP) and Chief Creative Officer Julian Mollema (award winning designer, Ex-Build in Amsterdam). All entrepreneurs with a solid track record in their respective fields. Crucially, there is also a lot of interest in Unveil from the art world. For example, the Head of Photography at Sotheby's EMEA has joined Unveil's Advisory Board.

Participating in Unveil

More information about the opportunity to invest in Unveil is in this two-page summary. If you would like to learn more about Unveil, I would be happy to put you in touch with the founders.

Spotlight 9: Judge finds XRP is, oh no it's not, an investment

Every week in this column, I go over the highs and lows of the most important assets in technology. Never before has the financial world been so dominated by crypto news as it was Thursday, when an early global happy hour erupted in the cryptoscene following a U.S. judge's incomprehensible ruling in the case brought by the SEC against Ripple Labs.

Imagine if XRP had won the case outright....

The judge ruled that Ripple Labs' sale of the XRP cryptocurrency to institutional investors violated securities laws. But, the judge said, there was nothing illegal about the sale of XRP by Ripple Labs to individual traders on crypto exchanges. As if professional investors need information, transparency and protection but consumers don't?

This schizophrenic statement was not understood outside the crypto world. "Securities laws are designed specifically to protect individual investors, based on the idea that they cannot stand up for themselves," James Carlson, an adjunct professor of securities regulation at New York University, told The Information. "Large institutional investors don't need the protection of securities laws. This ruling effectively turns that philosophy on its head," Carlson said.

"Securities laws are designed specifically to protect individual investors, based on the idea that they cannot advocate for themselves. Large institutional investors don't need the protection of securities laws. This ruling effectively turns that philosophy on its head."

James Carlson, New York University

Chance of 'boiler room' fraud

The implications of this part of the ruling are troubling. As Carlson said, "The potential for 'bucket shop' or 'boiler room' fraud is alarming." Think of the Wolf of Wall Street in a black crypto t-shirt. Carlson outlined a scenario in which a crypto company issues tokens to large institutional investors, who are given detailed information required by securities laws, but then resells them through crypto exchanges to individual traders, who are not given this information. The decision is likely to be appealed, so this may not be the end of the story. 

XRP rose nearly 80% within a day, gave back some of the gains over the weekend but still rose nearly 50% in the last week.

It remains a madhouse in AI

It had been coming for a while: Elon Musk has entered the AI battlefield with x.AI and has become CEO of his third company, in addition to Tesla and SpaceX, Musk's space company that was valued at a whopping $150 billion in a private sale last week. The man may have driven on a few blocks past the "eccentric" exit, but it's still mind-boggling how he combines it all. The goal of x.AI is "to understand the true nature of the universe." Musk talked more on Twitter about the goals and possible collaboration with Tesla, shared few details. To be continued, no doubt.

That doesn't head nicely, but with Code Interpreter, ChatGPT can analyze data, create graphs, solve math problems and edit files, among other things. It also supports file uploading and downloading, which previously was not possible in ChatGPT. Wharton professor Ethan Mollick, author of an excellent newsletter by the way, says Code Interpreter can do things he used to spend an unimaginable amount of time on.

I did a little test by downloading a .csv file of XRP price data on Friday and asking Code Interpreter to display the key information from it in a graph. I found the result amazing, especially since Chat GPT is text-based and until recently the output was also limited to text. So not anymore because Code Interpreter spit out three relevant graphs within seconds!

Code Interpreter from ChatGPT generated these graphs from a .csv file I had uploaded. Saves a lot of time and effort!

Anthropic, which raised just under half a billion dollars from investors in May, launched a new version of their Chat GPT competitor Claude.ai. Decrypt makes a good comparison between Claude.AI, ChatGPT and Google Bard. Officially, Claude is only available in the US and UK, but with a good VPN it works fine. I'd love to hear who experiences major differences between ChatGPT and Claude, personally I see little difference in quality.

In conclusion

My favorite guru Gary Vaynerchuk doesn't think Threads is a Twitter-killer either, but points out that it could attract a new audience. Just try it, he advises. For now, my feed on Threads is still filled with second-hand posts from Instagram.

In 2014, I got to know Taco Carlier of VanMoof when we spent a week together walking around SXSW. Apart from being an incredibly nice guy with whom I have a pleasant contact to this day, I find the news about a possible bankruptcy of VanMoof very sad because the company was the big booster of the e-bike as a replacement for the car.

In my experience, integration of all components into a hardware product is extremely complex, Taco and I talked about that several times. He mentioned Tesla as an example of almost complete vertical integration. But crucially, what do you do at the moment when a product continuously fails and you experience quality problems to such an extent that customers become dissatisfied and the service department is overwhelmed. I won't bore you with stories from the old box about the woes called ISDN that I had to contend with, in the transition era between modems and broadband, but sometimes you have to dare to kill a product to survive as a company. Hopefully Vanmoof will survive the current malaise.  

In other electric transport news, it was noticed that Lee Soo Man, founder of Korean K-pop institution SM Entertainment, invested $23 million with partners in passenger transport via drones. The EH216 can carry two passengers and flies without a pilot, leading to extraordinary videos. Just too bad about that bombastic music, therefore here, from SM Entertainment's stable, Red Velvet with Future, theme song from the popular Korean series Start-Up - yes, about Internet startups.

The high-quality sports site The Athletic (acquired last year by the New York Times, which last week dissolved its entire sports editorial staff) produced a nice long read about Lionel Messi's transfer to Miami, made possible by Apple. It remains extraordinary that Messi is the only player to benefit from the growth of subscribers to Apple TV+'s MLS subscription. The question looms as to when Apple will move more seriously into sports entertainment and move to acquire more sports rights, such as the Premier League, the NFL and the Olympics. And whether there will be more athletes then who will directly share in subscriptions to streaming services, separate of their clubs or leagues.

I want to reiterate that investing in startups carries the very highest form of risk. However, I did want to share my considerations for investing in iXora and Unveil. But simply put, my advice is: always do it only with money you can afford to lose and only in companies whose mission you support, then you will enjoy it the most. Profits remain uncertain.

I can't resist playing with MidJourney. This image is a combination of a photo I had uploaded, with an image generated by MidJourney.
Result of the prompt in MidJourney to put an iXora HRM in a room like the final scene from Raiders of the Lost Ark. Looks more like a Transformer on steroids.