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AI crypto technology

'Minister' makes the Netherlands look utterly ridiculous in Asia

Asia Tech Summit 2023 in Singapore

'Be curious, not judgmental.' That's the message of my favorite Ted Lasso series. Mindful of that credo, I attended the Asia Tech Summit in Singapore this week, followed the launch of the Apple Vision Pro, the magic glasses of glasses, and tried to get to the bottom of the lawsuit filed by U.S. authorities against crypto exchanges Binance and Coinbase. Unfortunately, things already went wrong during the first hour of the Asia Tech Summit, in which Secretary of State Van Huffelen was overcome by an overdose of unfounded self-confidence. 

Dutch pride abroad, 'minister' of digitization Alexandra van Huffelen

The Asia Tech Summit is particularly interesting because it brings together business and government institutions, with the idea that both sides develop an understanding of the challenges facing the other. Singapore Finance Minister and incoming Prime Minister Lawrence Wong provided the kickoff, after which Kaja Kallas (Estonia's first female prime minister) and Jacinda Ardern (New Zealand's youngest ever prime minister) paved the way for the first substantive panel, on the opportunities and threats of AI. Participating in this was State Secretary Van Huffelen, along with the president of Microsoft Asia and Nvidia's board member who deals with AI.

As the only other Dutch speaker, I was above average in my interest in Ms. Van Huffelen, and Google learned that she had a typical resume for a Dutch administrator: having been an alderman (sustainability in Rotterdam), director of a semi-governmental body (GVB in Amsterdam) and as State Secretary of Finance, she had inherited the Supplement affair, from which it is difficult to judge from a distance how adequately she had handled this painful dossier.

Nothing wrong with that, I thought, in the spirit of Ted Lasso, stay positive! After all, with the Supplements affair still in the back of her mind, hopefully she had taken a ride in Singapore on the phenomenal subway (clean, fast, cheap and safe, only resembles the GVB subway from very distant places because it is also transportation on rails) and would surely show some humility and modesty? So I expected and hoped, but nothing could be further from the truth. The state, which for incomprehensible reasons is heralded abroad as Minister of Kingdom Relations and Digitalization, went in with a straight leg almost from the kickoff.

Strategic action plan

For those with a strong stomach, the entire session can be watched back here, but the gist is that Van Huffelen sees mostly threats in AI and noted disappointment at the very beginning that nothing more has been heard of the idea of stopping AI development for six months. This is especially strange because the Dutch cabinet produced a policy paper as early as 2019 under state secretary Keijzer of EZ, which mostly sang the praises of AI. Participating in that cabinet was D66, Van Huffelen's party, and she even joined it as state secretary in 2020. There is a NL AI Coalition(NL AIC), in which government, business and knowledge institutions work together, and there is an AINed foundation that may spend 204.5 million Euros of government money to stimulate AI in the Netherlands.

In 2019, a policymaker thought a baby wearing VR glasses from Lidl had something to do with AI

Van Huffelen did not say a word about this and pretended that AI is viewed exclusively with a critical eye in the Netherlands. Her substantive contribution can be summarized as a series of clichés that the citizen comes first (gosh) and should not be forgotten (boy) and that there is more to life than making a profit; the latter she must have learned from the tens of thousands of victims of the Supplements affair.

For me, the moment at the very beginning was crucial, when it became apparent that Van Huffelen is either particularly ignorant or particularly underhanded. A combination of the two I would not rule out after her performance. After 1 minute 50, Van Huffelen literally said:

" We have seen many problems with AI, I have seen that in my country, even the AI that the government used turned out to be very biased."

state secretary Alexandra van Huffelen

Excuse me, to dismiss the Supplements affair, which has ruined the lives of tens of thousands of people, in which over 2,000 children were placed out of their homes and on which the cabinet fell in which Van Huffelen, nota bene, was himself responsible for this dossier, as a result of AI, is downright disgraceful.

Therefore, this brief refresher for Ms. Van Huffelen, who seems to have no active memory of the Supplements affair:

  • until 2019, dual citizenship was a selection rule in the Tax Department. That is a policy decision made by *people*. These victims were extra checked, for years, without knowing it, and could not appeal the inclusion in this group of extra checked. This was Kafka for anyone with a foreign last name.
  • The Personal Data Authority concluded that the Tax Authority's processing was "unlawful, discriminatory and therefore improper" which constituted a serious violation of the AVG. The Dutch Tax Authority itself violated Dutch law! (It is therefore downright bizarre that as recently as January 17 of this year, this article was published on the Belastingdienst's site, reporting that everything went perfectly by the book).
  • Officials at the top of the Inland Revenue stopped benefits from people even though they knew they were entitled to them. Up to the highest level, it was decided to continue this unlawful approach for years .
  • Inland Revenue officials demanded punishment for executives, but none were punished.

In short, the Surcharge Affair is an accumulation of wrong and evil policy instructions. It has nothing, but nothing, to do with AI. Because AI is precisely about machine learning, computer programs that get smarter as more data is added to them. Whether the Surcharge Affair was in part due to institutional racism or racial profiling I leave to sociologists and activists, but in any case it was "just" the work of incompetent and scummy people.

Ms. Van Huffelen apparently wanted to score with party colleagues tens of thousands of miles away. Perhaps the next D66 newsletter will contain a glowing passage about how their state lectured the big bad Microsoft. In any case, it will be bonus points in certain circles if Van Huffelen aspires to a job in Brussels and wants to further profile herself as a fighter for civil rights against tech capitalism. After all, she certainly wanted to profile herself.

Ready steward at the Evening Walk

Each speaker received in advance an explanation of the dress code, "business casual (for gentlemen: suit, no tie). I don't know what her letter said, but I'm sure it wasn't "ready steward at the Evening Four. Van Huffelen's yellow dress and particularly ungainly appearance by Asian standards stood out more than her substantive contribution.

If someone in Asia makes a comment on a panel with which you disagree, you don't say, especially as a representative of a country, 'that is not true.' Then you say, for example, 'I have a different viewpoint.' Or: 'another way of looking at this, is xyz'. In the audience, people wondered aloud whether Van Huffelen was wearing a beach dress and whether she had confused her islands, because 'the yellow of Cory Aquino was in the Philippines, not Singapore.' An ill-mannered Dame Edna is not what you want to portray as the Netherlands in one of the largest global markets.

The most embarrassing moment, although I wonder if Ms. Van Huffelen caught it, was when a real minister, Josephine Teo of Singapore's Ministry of Communications and Information, announced the creation of the AI Verify Foundation. Not a policy paper without clear goals, but a foundation in which business and government jointly establish tests that companies and governments worldwide can use to test AI applications. Teo emphasized that AI is so important especially for small countries like Singapore because it can increase a country's efficiency and production without additional human labor. No question.

Quantum computing near, threatens cryptography

There were more interesting announcements at the Asian Tech Summit. First, Deputy Prime Minister Heng Swee Keat reported the creation of the National Quantum-Safe Network Plus (NQSN+). That's a mouthful and requires some explanation, this site reports:

'The National Quantum-Safe Network (NQSN+) focuses on establishing a national platform and testbed for a systematic build-out of quantum-safe communication technologies, by evaluating security and demonstrating the integration of quantum-safe applications, best practices and use cases.

The main goal is to deploy commercial quantum-secure technologies for trials with government agencies and private companies; to conduct in-depth evaluations of security systems; and to develop guidelines to support companies in adopting such technologies.'

Singapore aims to secure the crucial banking sector for the long term, hence the creation of this quantum-secure network. Indeed, the importance of quantum computing will grow rapidly in the coming years. The most engaging moment during the panel I participated in, on the future of Web 3.0, was when IBM Fellow Ray Harishankar explained (starting at 25.30) why quantum computing is crossing the path of the modern Internet and will be able to retroactively crack current cryptography.

Harishankar expects that between 2030 and 2035 quantum computers suitable for specific applications will become available. His message is as simple as it is ominous: to be ready for quantum computing in 2030, organizations must have their cryptography in order now because no password will soon be safe.

Singapore is collaborating on security and standardization with South Korea, which last month announced as much as $2.6 billion dollars to invest in quantum technology research. I already can't wait to hear what Secretary of State Van Huffelen has against quantum technology. 

Apple Vision Pro better device than expected, but for what?

What woman spends $3499 on ski goggles that mess up heur hair?

Apple finally announced the Apple Vision Pro, the first step toward a completely new form of computing. Marques Brownlee explained in this particularly good video what the Vision Pro excels at and where the challenges lie for Apple. I was surprised that the introductory price is still $500 higher than expected: $3499 is not the price buster of the month. For that, though, the Vision Pro is packed with high-quality sensors.

As an Apple fanboy, I was pleasantly surprised by the all-new interface: nothing keyboard and mouse, but delicate eye-tracking. Look at something and the glasses see it. Blinking becomes the new buying 😉 Even though it will probably take a decade for Apple headsets to generate a significant portion (more than 10%) of sales, it's great to see that Apple is finally trying something big and hard again and not spending billions on stock buybacks.

Zuckerberg responds

Mark Zuckerberg was smart enough to take extensive time (nearly 3 hours!) right after Apple's announcement to comment with Lex Fridman. He had a strong argument that the Apple Vision Pro seems to be made for solitary use and not for communication with others. For the Apple Vision Pro and its successors, that indeed seems like the next step, as users of the iPhone but even the Apple Watch use their devices primarily to communicate, in the case of the Apple Watch as a receiver.

The complete integration of the Apple ecosystem between Mac, iPhone, Apple watch and Vision Pro will be fascinating to follow. Over the next few years, it will be interesting to see what applications Apple develops to try to make the Vision Pro a mass-market product. I remain convinced that the biggest obstacle will be getting women excited about putting on a device that messes up their hair and makeup. Then the utility or fun of an Apple Vision Pro would have to be enormous.

Zuckerberg himself, meanwhile, has the greatest possible difficulty motivating and enthusing his people. The Washington Post reported that even before the latest round of layoffs in May, which brought the total number of layoffs at Meta to as many as 21,000 jobs, confidence in his leadership among staff had fallen to 26%. Even for a Dutch politician, that would be pathetically low.

Notable links

First, two reading tips for any person interested in AI and for "Minister" Van Huffelen:

  • Why AI will save the world. Netscape founder Marc Andreessen, particularly successful as an investor this century, explains in a lucid speech why AI has mostly positive aspects.

Further:

  • Interesting video in which Twitter founder Ev Williams talks about how he feels about Twitter under Elon Musk. An interview that gives the impression that the demise of his brainchild really hurts him.

Spotlight 9: The SEC goes wild on crypto exchanges

Sleepless week on stock markets, except for crypto exchanges

It was a soporific week in the stock markets, with the old school S&P 500 outperforming the tech funds. All the negativity about Bitcoin was apparently already priced in, as BTC barely dropped amid all the uproar over the announcement that the U.S. SEC has filed charges against Binance.

Last year I wrote about Binance's lack of commitment to combating money laundering. More surprising is the charge against Coinbase that the company sold shares without having the necessary licenses. In doing so, the SEC takes the position that at least some cryptocurrencies should be considered shares.

At the same time, it is not conclusively established that the SEC has the authority to pursue charges if elected representatives of the people are drafting legislation in the area the SEC is just now moving into. Former Wall Street Journal reporter Michael Casey, now the editorial boss at Coindesk, wrote a comprehensive analysis of the legal battle unfolding in the U.S. at the intersection of crypto and politics.

The shadow that the FTX debacle cast over the crypto sector has global repercussions. Also in Singapore, where unlike the Netherlands, failures do have consequences. Employees of sovereign wealth fund Temasek who invested in FTX and lost $275 million dollars (still less than one percent of invested assets) saw their salaries cut.

How much was not disclosed, but although investigations showed that all procedures had been followed, the fraud and theft by Bankman-Fried and consorts, Singapore's sovereign wealth fund managers was severely punished. I find this heavily punished, because in the end Bankman-Fried simply stole from his investors and customers, but maybe I am too Dutch and used to incompetent souls rolling from one cabinet to another.

Categories
crypto NFTs technology

Did Keanu Reeves walk through Amsterdam confused?

There are so many posts about AI that it is hard to find the relevant pieces, but they are certainly there. The Washington Post published this excellent article about the challenges in producing Critterz, the first film with 100% AI-generated characters now online. Filmmaker Chad Nelson says it took only a week to create his entire visual world, including all the characters and mystical forests, with Dall-E. When I read that OpenAI, the creator of Dall-E, had co-paid for the film, I did wonder about the honesty of Nelson's praise. It still feels a bit like falling into the trap of a clever content marketer from OpenAI.

Keanu Reeves previously expressed concerns about how movie studios will use AI to replace talent because, "corporations don't give a fuck about paying artists. Reeves has a point. Dall-E took this photo within seconds with the prompt: 'A distraught Keanu Reeves walking along an Amsterdam canal with his hair blowing in the wind, under a cloudy sky.' There is much to be said about this one-eyed Keanu and that green mailbox behind him, but no doubt a new profession will emerge, a hybrid of programmer and visual designer, using AI to its fullest potential to create virtual worlds indistinguishable from the real thing.

Meet the founders of Unveil

One company that focuses precisely on making the distinction between real and fake, or original and fake, is Amsterdam-based Unveil. Photographer Alexander Sporre started this NFT platform with his partners out of dissatisfaction with the way photography is handled in the NFT world. For collectors of NFTs, it is impractical to search among all the junk on OpenSea and other NFT marketplaces for valuable and unique finds. And if you think you have found something nice at all, you don't know if the work is original and how many of them have been made.

Using blockchain technology, Unveil solves this problem of authenticity and edition management for collectors, gallery owners and artists. The artist can choose to offer only a digital work (a DAB, Digital Artwork on the Blockchain) or a physical work of art (PAB, Physical Artwork on the Blockchain), or both. The MoMa in New York and the Centre Pompidou in Paris have now acquired NFTs, and the combination of physical and digital collecting is expected to take off.

I think Unveil is an example of a third generation marketplace, after the uncurated blind offering (think Marketplace) and the curated auction model (like Catawiki). Legendary investment firm Andreessen Horowitz (Facebook, Twitter, LinkedIn, Airbnb, Coinbase etc etc) recently wrote about it in the annual Marketplace 100 Report: 'from your kitchen to your closet, modern marketplaces do the filtering for you.'

Unveil launches publicly at the end of May, featuring exclusive NFT drops by a number of renowned photographers such as Thomas Albdorf, Bastiaan Woudt and Paul Cupido, each of whom have created their own interpretation of classic themes from Dutch art history: Still Life, Landscape and Portrait.

There is now an opportunity for a limited group of investors to invest in Unveil even before its public launch at the end of May. On May 9, the founders are organizing an investor event in Amsterdam to which the readers of this newsletter are invited. You can register here or make a phone appointment with the founders if you are unable to attend the event.

I am also investing in Unveil myself in this round, and my maxim is that you should think of an investment in a startup as money lost now that may come back one day - but hopefully more than you put in. Note that this is not investment advice and you are investing outside AFM supervision, there is no licensing and prospectus requirement. Alexander Sporre of Unveil is a highly respected former colleague of mine and I am a firm believer in the NFT market, so I am far from neutral.

Binance is more important than thought

The news that Binance in the U.S. is being investigated by the CFTC was a footnote in the Dutch media, which are increasingly dominated by visually appealing incidents such as a lighter on an Ajax head or tractors on a highway. That clicks better and is easier to write about than analyses on CFTC, AML, KYC and other boring coolos. I wrote at length last year about why Binance is rightly under fire. Bottom line: Binance is not doing enough to combat money laundering. But Binance, and its former rogue competitor FTX, are important for two reasons.

First of all, the traditional financial world now realizes that digital assets are not disappearing, no matter how much effort is made to keep them far from investors. Pioneers such as Binance, which introduced innovations at an unparalleled pace, are forerunners that hold up a mirror to the traditional big banks and demonstrate how continuous and rapid innovation is indeed possible in the financial world. That attracts a large group of mostly young, active investors worldwide that banks can only dream of. Those banks should look at what Binance does well in terms of products and services and link that clout to their own, stricter regulations.

Second, crypto investors should now realize that those three-letter abbreviations AML and KYC are important to them as well. It is simple: if the source of money, crypto or otherwise, cannot be proven, and if it is not clear who owns these assets, then there will soon be no payment link to traditional finance. Last week, some of Binance' s Australian operations were banned by the government. The Dutch players are much neater, but if the international crypto exchanges where active investors like to trade continue to operate so shady, soon any transfers to or from Binance and its competitors will be denied by banks. It will thus become impossible to buy a house with crypto profits, for example. This will then only be possible in dubious regions, but not everyone wants to live in Montenegro or Dubai.

Paris, Texas?

Although I firmly believe in digital assets and blockchain, until independent data is available that proves the energy source of mining, I will not invest in Bitcoin because of the associated CO2 emissions. Because I work with Bluenote in blockchain but exclusively in the area of sustainability, in terms of event attendance, I often hop on two paths.

The Sustainable Innovation Forum is taking place in Paris in early May. Just when the transition to a sustainable society is under pressure from the faltering global economy, this is an interesting event where, unfortunately, few digital assets will be discussed. Not even in the area of carbon trading. A week earlier in Austin, Texas, Consensus is organized by the leading crypto medium Coindesk. There, of course, there is plenty of focus on digital assets, but little on sustainability. It remains tricky.

Fine links

Zeeland girl Meltem Demirors
  • a special person: too few Dutch people follow Meltem Demirors, one of the most intelligent and original thinkers in the crypto world. She has spoken before the U.S. Congress about crypto, is the authoritative voice of reason about digital assets on CNBC and crazy about leather pants and strange memecoins. The daughter of Turkish parents, Demirors was born in ... Terneuzen, before moving to America at a young age. Become her 257,000th follower on Twitter and you won't regret it.
  • still a handy news source: Hacker News looks like a 1955 Albanian telex, but just checking the headlines always turns up something special. For example, I saw this this week via Hacker News: optimist with lots of spare time turns a Dyson hair dryer into an aircraft engine and cyclist smuggles six thousand SD cards into China *in.*
  • one of my favorite newsletters is that of legendary investor Fred Wilson. In it I read this week that his vc USV has invested in Noya, a startup developing technology the world needs: CO2 removal from the air, American-style called Direct Air Capture Technology. Sounds better anyway.

Geek Sentiment

Finally, a look at the major share prices in tech, where I compare Amazon, Apple, Google, Meta and Microsoft to the S&P 500, the Dow Jones Index, and Bitcoin and Ethereum as the most important gauges in the crypto world. Ethereum (ETH) is the winner of the week with over 10% rise.

It was not Bitcoin's week, although BTC topped $30,000 for the first time since last June. It always stings Bitcoin maximalists when an altcoin, particularly the leading development platform Ethereum, shows better returns as it did this week. But Bitcoin fanatics were especially outraged because the New York Times published a comprehensive study showing that 34 Bitcoin mining companies in the U.S. consume even more energy than 3 million households. Bitcoin fans correctly noted that the article misses the mark by blaming inefficient and vastly outdated energy subsidies on Bitcoin. But Bitcoin's absurd energy consumption is irrefutable. "They are adding hundreds of megawatts of new demand when we are already facing the need to rapidly cut fossil energy," said Jesse Jenkins, a Princeton professor who studies power grid emissions. "If you care about climate change," he added, "that's a problem." There's no pin in that.

I hope to get another newsletter up next week, but we found a sick puppy on the street the day before yesterday that we have taken in to care for and that is proving to be more time consuming than I thought. We are still looking for a name for the puppy, tips and suggestions are welcome! Also about the newsletter of course.

Have a great Sunday.

Sincerely,

Michiel Frackers

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Recent interview at BNR with Ben van der Burg and Herbert Blankesteijn

Categories
crypto

A lot does go wrong with Binance

Binance was long the exchange of choice for many crypto investors. With a large number of tokens claimed, fast settlement and relatively low fees, it managed to grow into a billion-dollar business. But last month, Binance no longer appeared to be welcome in Israel and Singapore. Two admittedly small markets, widely seen as forerunners, and that sent a very bad signal to the larger global markets. The question is when will Binance finally get serious about cracking down on money laundering?

In December, Binance Singapore customers suddenly received notification that the company would withdraw from Singapore within weeks. Customers were urged to transfer all their funds to accounts elsewhere and close their accounts by mid-February. Binance's PR machine came out with glowing lyrics about renewed focus and strategic rethinking, but it sounded as believable as a school student claiming to be struggling with a flat tire and an open bridge on the way to a test that he would have studied really hard for.

According to insiders, Binance had been admonished by Singapore's National Bank (MAS) to pack their bags because it had no chance of being licensed under the internationally renowned Payment Services Act (PSA), which established Singapore as a global leader in crypto regulation. Two years after the PSA was enacted, only a handful of licenses have been awarded while over 300 applications had been submitted. Even for progressive Singapore, achieving conclusive regulation of the opaque crypto market is difficult.

Within Binance, it maintains that it withdrew its license application in Singapore on its own initiative, as did major players such as Apple, Adyen, Google and Revolut and with them 100 other companies. The difference is that these companies do not have to withdraw from Singapore, but most of them have been made to understand by MAS (especially the parties that do not manage customer assets) that no license is required for them. In fact, Singapore wants to bring in mostly large exchanges. This is precisely why it is wry that Binance has to leave and says it is now focusing on the United Arab Emirates as the location of its new headquarters.

Hired with much drumbeat in August as Binance Singapore CEO, Richard Teng, who had no less than 13 years of experience at MAS and was also Chief Regulatory Officer at the Singapore Exchange, has now been transferred to the Emirates as head of Middle East and Africa. There is no one who believes this was the intention when he was appointed. Teng did, however, just proudly announce that Binance has obtained a license in Bahrain. Nice, but incomparable to a license in Singapore, the business hub of more than a billion people in Southeast Asia.

And with that, Binance is making the exact same feint it made a few years ago. After all, it was less than four years ago that Binance founder Changpeng Zao(CZ for crypto friends) triumphantly announced that Malta would become Binance's new center, after China had radically closed the doors to Binance and all crypto-exchanges and Hong Kong still had to tolerate more influence from China than had been hoped for. But after Malta was told from Brussels to crack down on money laundering, the love between Binance and Malta soon cooled. It remains to be seen how long Dubai will leave the red carpet rolled out for CZ after China, Malta and Singapore.

Because in the same week that Binance had to shut down Singapore, leaving behind only a bare website, Israel also came out with a warning about Binance. And let's not forget Israel is working hard to strengthen economic relations with the Emirates and Bahrain, where crypto is a topic of conversation. It is not likely that Israel will forget to remind its new home friends Abu Dhabi and Dubai of all the international CDD/AML/KYC rules that it does enforce itself. Especially not after Israel announced last weekend that it does not want to be a go-between for assets allegedly originating from Russia.

Reuters was already able to get its hands on internal reports indicating that Binance is taking a dim view of the fight against money laundering:

"In encrypted Telegram messages seen by Reuters, Binance staff, including Chief Compliance Officer Samuel Lim and former Global Money Laundering Reporting Officer Karen Leong, raised worries about weak "know-your-customer" checks aimed at preventing money laundering. Three former senior Binance employees told Reuters they voiced such concerns to Zhao himself but he ignored them."

It is to be hoped for the crypto industry that Binance succeeds in growing into a serious global market player. The company has always been very innovative and had a speed and clout that competitors like U.S.-based Coinbase and Kraken looked at admiringly. As an outsider, it is probably impossible to imagine the enormous obstacles Binance has managed to circumvent in growing from China into an international crypto powerhouse. The question is whether the need for reform and alignment with international anti-money laundering policies permeates CZ.

Meanwhile, the almost equally unregulated FTX is developing into a major competitor and Crypto.com is embarking on massive marketing campaigns. And although Coinbase recently faced a massive security breach, the U.S. company continues to grow strongly, including through a high-profile commercial featuring only a QR code during the Superbowl. Aired exactly on the day Binance closed its doors in Singapore.

Thus, 2022 appears to be the year of truth for Binance. The pioneer needs to get serious about money laundering, because at some point you run out of countries to flee to.