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invest technology

Silicon Valley divided over choice between founders or managers

Because I was traveling this weekend, I don't have a good overview of the most important tech news. Therefore, I devote this newsletter to the only topic of conversation last week in tech circles: founders or managers - who are better?

The Uber driver's gold-rimmed sunglasses are a symbol of where I am this week. The answer is in the last photo, at the bottom.

In Silicon Valley last week most conversations were dominated by the discussions about "Founder Mode", following a blog post by Paul Graham, founder of the world's most successful startup incubator Y Combinator. Graham argues that startup founders shouldn't listen to investors who often insist on appointing experienced CEOs and managers, which Graham says often has disastrous consequences.

Founders or managers?

Operating in "founder mode," according to Graham, means adhering to a founder's mindset and management style. It's about bypassing rigid organizational structures and fostering close collaboration between departments. In contrast, startups in "manager mode" attract competent, experienced managers to lead teams with minimal interference from the CEO.

"The way managers are taught to run companies seems to be like modular design in the sense that you treat subtrees of the org chart as black boxes. You tell your direct reports what to do, and it's up to them to figure out how. But you don't get involved in the details of what they do. That would be micromanaging them, which is bad.
"
Graham wrote.

Airbnb almost successfully managed into the ground

He was inspired to write his blog post by a recent speech by Airbnb co-founder Brian Chesky at Y Combinator. In it, Chesky highlighted the pitfalls of conventional wisdom when scaling businesses, often advising to hire good people and give them autonomy. When he followed this advice at Airbnb, it led to disappointing results.

In his own words, inspired by Steve Jobs, Chesky developed a new approach, which now seems to be working, given Airbnb's strong financial performance - although residents of the inner cities of Barcelona and Amsterdam will think otherwise, awash in a wave of rolling suitcases and higher rents due to Airbn's "success".

Many founders in the audience shared similar experiences as Chesky and realized that the usual advice harmed rather than helped them. Chesky pointed out that founders are also often advised to run their companies as professional managers upon strong growth, which often proves ineffective.

Apple and Microsoft successful in manager mode

According to Chesky and Paul Graham, founders possess unique skills that managers without entrepreneurial backgrounds often lack. By suppressing these instincts, founders can actually harm their companies.

Risa Mish, management professor at Cornell University, contrasted that in Observer that it was precisely Steve Jobs who was succeeded with great success by the experienced manager Tim Cook. Microsoft has also performed many times better under Satya Nadella than anyone ever expected.

"But it could be as simple as the difference between a team trying to create new things and a company focused on growing existing products and revenue streams," Mish said.

Examples abound in both camps

Mish has apparently forgotten that Steve Jobs was fired from Apple in the 1980s by CEO John Sculley, who came from Pepsi Cola and ironically was recruited by Jobs himself.

The only innovation Sculley introduced at Apple was the legendary flop Newton, because he was unable to match the undeniably huge market potential of the mobile device (later proven correct by the iPhone) with the right timing, the most important skill for an innovative CEO. The technology was far from ready for a device like the Newton; high-speed mobile Internet was lacking and the small processors were still too weak.

Before I digress further: contrasted with the success of executives Tim Cook at Apple and Satya Nadella at Microsoft is a literally and figuratively (numerically and symbolically) equally great success in the person of Nvidia founder Jensen Huang, who has been CEO of the chipmaker he himself founded for more than three decades.

Nor will Salesforce shareholders shed any tears that founder Marc Benioff has been in charge there for more than a quarter century and, according to The Information, is even working on a comeback, as if that was necessary since Benioff was never out of it. In short: whether it's successful founders or successful managers, there are plenty of examples in both camps. Time for a quantitative comparison!

The data shows: founders perform better

Fortunately, the dilemma has since been studied quantitatively and it turns out that Paul Graham's thesis is correct: founder mode is often superior when it comes to value creation, according to an analysis of PitchBook data.

Pitchbook is clear: founders are better than managers.

Pitchbook concludes:

"In each of the past five years, VC-backed founder-led companies grew in value significantly faster than non-founder-led companies. This year, the relative rate of value creation for founder-CEOs was 22.4%, compared to 4.7% for non-founder-CEOs.
In the chosen methodology, the relative rate figure reflects the percentage of value increase between funding rounds, expressed on an annual basis. Among companies that raised funding this year, median value growth was $3.6 million higher among founder-CEOs.
According to Graham, founder-CEOs of high-growth companies are especially "more agile" than professional CEOs. That detail-oriented approach can lead to higher growth through product improvement, or by better motivating front-line employees."

Vulnerable businesses need entrepreneurs

Vulnerable companies need entrepreneurs. In my opinion, which is based on experience and observation but not supported by quantitative research, companies that regardless of their age rely primarily on one product or one revenue source should preferably have a founder at the helm.

Take Google, which is currently under pressure due to the rise of OpenAI with ChatGPT, while their revenue comes largely from ads, especially through the search engine.

As soon as the search engine generates less traffic, revenue will drop, and things will get very tough for Google. CEO Sundar Pichai is clearly a competent manager, but the next few years will show how good an entrepreneur he is.

We need only think back to the temporary successes of Nokia and Blackberry to see what happens when companies that lean on innovation are led by executives unable to adapt their products when they are attacked head-on.

Zuckerberg's flexibility

An excellent example of a relatively young founder who has mastered the craft is Mark Zuckerberg. When Instagram appeared to be a threat to Facebook, he quickly bought it for a billion dollars. An amount many frowned upon, but insiders knew it was a bargain. WhatsApp was about 20 times as expensive, but still a good deal.

When Snapchat posed a major threat to Instagram with Stories, Zuckerberg simply had Instagram copy Snapchat's full functionality, without ego. This saved Instagram. He is currently trying something similar in response to TikTok.

I am convinced that a classical manager would never have bought Instagram and Whatsapp or let Instagram respond so quickly to competition from Snapchat and TikTok. That Zuckerberg has now spent tens of billions on obscure Metaverse adventures is, by comparison, a rounding error.

Conclusion from thirty years as an entrepreneur and investor

Interestingly, many successful entrepreneurs say they have been mentored for years by a small group of experienced advisors who enjoy their trust. For example, ex-Intuit CEO Bill Campbell, about whom the excellent book Trillion Dollar Coach was written, was a famous advisor to Steve Jobs and the founders of Google, among others.

In Silicon Valley, investors and former entrepreneurs Reid Hoffman, Peter Thiel and Marc Andreessen are frequently mentioned names as examples of valued advisors. It is precisely in the combination of entrepreneurial experience and investment experience that they prove to be of unique value.

This topic is close to my heart because, after almost ten years as an employee during my school and college days, I have been an entrepreneur for 15 years and an investor and advisor for 15 years since.

Coachable crazies

My conclusion is that coachable entrepreneurs have the greatest chance of success.

One of the advantages of having been an employee first is that I learned mostly how I didn't want to deal with people once I became an employer. During my time as a young entrepreneur at Planet Internet, however, I have been immensely supported by valuable advice, both from entrepreneurs and managers.

In retrospect, I only realized how lucky I was that entrepreneurs like Eckart Wintzen (BSO) and Maarten van den Biggelaar (Quote Media) took the time for me, as did members of the Board of Directors of the Telegraaf and Ben Verwaayen of KPN.

It didn't escape me that Quote, Telegraph and KPN were shareholders, and that perspective obviously always came into play. But that doesn't diminish the quality of their opinions.

Later, as an advisor at the same Quote Media and at dance company ID&T, I saw how talents such as Jort Kelder and Duncan Stutterheim might appear to the outside world to be stubborn, but in practice, at crucial moments, they listened very carefully to advice - and then, as they should, made their own decisions.

It became more difficult in constellations where, on the contrary, many different winds were blowing, as I experienced with the OV Chipkaart: a consortium of public transport companies that competed among themselves, which tendered to a consortium of companies that in turn competed among themselves. 

At the Silicon Valley startup Jaunt, I experienced something similar. This virtual reality pioneer had a mix of tech and media people within both the team and the investors, a true fusion of Silicon Valley and Hollywood.

Making VR cameras as well as VR productions, having offices in Palo Alto and Santa Monica and owned by shareholders that ranged from the traditional profit-hungry Silicon Valley vc funds, to Disney and Sky; on top of that also a mix of American, European and Chinese investors. You end up with a sort of mash-up of fried rice and sauerkraut, or a pizza with ginger and kale. Separately excellent, but the combination doesn't work. It lacks focus and a unified mindset, which a good founder as CEO does have.

That's a long run-up to my conclusion: the best CEOs are founders who are maniacal in their vision, but coachable in their execution; call it coachable geeks. And then preferably coachable by both experienced founders *and* managers.

The sunglasses of the Uber driver already gave it away: this week I am in Dubai. 

Thanks for your interest and see you next week!

Categories
AI crypto technology

AI under fire: Elon Musk against OpenAI, EU against Microsoft and everyone against Google CEO Sundar Pichai

Normally in this newsletter I try to find some sort of common thread in the news, but so much happened this week that I don't want to leave unmentioned without turning this newsletter into a biblical epic. So apologies in advance for this week's telex style. (For younger readers, a telex was a device used by companies in the last century to slide into each other's DMs.)

Even people who don't know the difference between a pixel and a pancake are now interfering with the rapid rise of AI. The European Union, excelling at joining the resistance after the war, is investigating the deal of the world's most valuable company, Microsoft, and the former European AI darling, France's Mistral. As if Mistral has much choice and has not long been clear that all the big leading AI companies come from America. There Elon Musk filed a doomed lawsuit against the co-founded OpenAI, where he seems to have the moral right on his side this time. Meanwhile, calls are being made for the resignation of Sundar Pichai, CEO of Alphabet (Google's parent company) since Alphabet's $90 billion one-day drop in market value caused by controversial and poor responses from Google's AI service Gemini. Unimaginable but true: this all happened in the past week.

Elon Musk according to Google Gemini? Image created with Midjourney.

Call for Google CEO to resign

Speaking of Google, which lost a whopping $90 billion dollar market value on Monday when the controversy surrounding Google Gemini, the Silicon Valley giant's ChatGPT competitor, made its way to Wall Street. It led to calls for the CEO's resignation. (Officially, this Sundar Pichai is the CEO of Google's parent company, Alphabet, but that name has proven so meaningless that even Alphabet's ticker symbol on the Nasdaq is still GOOG.)

Pichai responded to the controversy surrounding the Gemini project on Tuesday night, in a probably intentionally leaked internal memo, calling the AI app's problematic responses to race 'unacceptable'. Pichai promised to make structural changes to fix the problem, although it is remains unclear what those changes are.

I wrote about this last week: in some cases, Gemini refused to depict white people, or added photos of women or people of a different skin color when asked to create images of Vikings, Nazis and the Pope. (I myself tried in vain to create a Viking with dreadlocks and a pregnant woman as a pope, but by then Gemini had removed its image creation service. Anyway, all jokes in this area have been obsolete since Dave Chapelle's legendary skit as a black white supremacist up: a
).

'Unclear who had worse influence, Musk or Hitler'

The controversy escalated when Gemini was also caught on highly questionable text responses, such as difficulty answering who has had a worse impact on society: Elon Musk or Adolf Hitler? Since Pichai has even less charisma than Mark Zuckerberg, the latter was suddenly adulated in some circles as an exemplary CEO who represents his company well. Engadget quickly corrected that frame,even suggesting that Zuckerberg is in a battle for survival with Meta.

The personality cult of CEOs in the media is outdated. Apple CEO Tim Cook probably isn't the greatest story teller at birthday parties, Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang will be asked by many journalists at a Chinese restaurant for an extra bowl of rice, and Microsoft CEO Satya Nadella cannot be distinguished by 99% of the media from the players on the Indian cricket team. This is not a bad thing at all: it is completely irrelevant that the CEOs of the three most valuable tech companies in the world are neither very outspoken nor flamboyant. Their companies, with largely satisfied employees, make exceptional products at an apparently appealing price, and that's what matters.

Musk is right and wrong at the same time

Then the case of Musk vs. OpenAI. In his suit, OpenAI is accused by Musk of having traded the original non-profit mission of developing AI to help humanity for maximum money grabbing with Microsoft. The Verge argues that this is, at its core, justified criticism of OpenAI, with which Microsoft has an exclusive licensing agreement. So much for helping humanity.

Unfortunately for Musk, legal experts don't rate his chances very highly, especially since nothing of all these lofty goals and agreementswas ever written down by the OpenAI founders. It also doesn't help Musk that he has since founded a competing AI company of his own, x.ai so other motives may be in play for him.

French AI darling in partnership with Microsoft and IBM

It was announced Thursday that Mistral, the not-yet-year-old French company that was supposed to be ChatGPT's competitor, has signed licensing agreements with Microsoft and IBM. Under the agreement with Microsoft, Mistral's language models will be available on the Azure cloud computing platform, while Mistral's multilingual chatbot in the style of ChatGPT, will be rolled out as "Le Chat. This is to the dismay of the European Commission, which sees the last hopes of a European response to OpenAI and Gemini fading.

There will be a fuss in France over the butchering of the French language: 'Le Chat' in French simply means 'the cat' and the French word for online chat is... tchat. Microsoft could probably do little with 'Le Tchat', which only underlines that English is the working language in AI and the Americans have won the battle.

There was also good news

During Mobile World Congress in Barcelona, Deutsche Telekom showed the T Phone, a collaboration of the Germans with the, of course, American Brain.AI. This phone basically replaces all the separate apps with one AI app that performs all the desired functions:

"As Brain.AI CEO Jerry Yue shows me what the T Phone can do, he tells the device to book a flight from here in Barcelona to Los Angeles on March 12 for two people in first class. The phone pauses for a minute before pulling up a list of flights, methodically arranged on the home screen. Once Yue finds the best flight, he can pay for it using his mobile payment system of choice, without having to swap to another app or service."

The instruction actually generates the interface, without having to switch between different apps. Wired is already talking about the end of apps in this regard, christening this development "the big uninstall.

From a photograph of Audrey Hepburn and the sound of a cover version of Ed Sheeran's Photograph, a video of a Photograph singing Audrey Hepburn is generated. 

EMO creates talking and singing videos from photos

Just two weeks ago, OpenAI announced Sora, the AI service that creates deceptively realistic videos based on a simple text prompt. Researchers at Alibaba's research institute have developed a similar service, Emote Portrait Alive (EMO), which, for example, can turn a portrait photo into a talking or singing video. A photo of Audrey Hepburn is combined with a cover version of Ed Sheeran's song Photograph and next thing you know,Audrey Hepburn is singing Ed Sheeran's hit song.

The Chinese, because to keep things confusing despite its name, Alibaba is a Chinese company, deal another not-so-subtle stab at OpenAI by taking an interview with OpenAI CTO Mira Murati as the basis for the second example, using Murati's voice as audio under a talking version of the lady from OpenAI's Sora video.

Spotlight 9: Dell helps Nvidia, crypto continues to rise

On Friday, Nvidia closed a trading day for the first time with a market cap above $2 trillionand seems to have definitively passed Amazon and Google in the battle for the bronze, as the third most valuable tech company in the world after Microsoft and Apple. It now seems a matter of time before Nvidia even surpasses Apple in market cap.

BBC published an excellent article on Bitcoin. Highly recommended to understand how what "whales" are buying up large numbers of Bitcoin. 

Nvidia shares rose four percent after Dell, which sells high-end servers made with Nvidia's processors, issued a positive revenue forecast on Thursday, referring to a surge in orders for Dell's AI-optimized servers. Dell's shares shot up as much as thirty-eight percent to a record high, before ending the session with a gain of thirty-two percent.

There is much to do about Super Micro (SMCI), which some analysts seem to confuse with a chip manufacturer like Nvidia and even has a higher P/E ratio (SMCI 71 versus NVDA 69). This is absurd, of course, as Nvidia has a much more defensible competitive position and more unique products.

There are two reasons why I think Super Micro will nevertheless experience tremendous sales growth in the coming years:

- with this type of server it is more difficult than is often thought to make the right trade-off between performance, power consumption and price per application used; I have the impression that Super Micro knows very well what the customers want, even better than many customers themselves, and based on that knowledge Super Micro estimates particularly cleverly whether an expensive Nvidia GPU is actually required, or whether the required performance can also be delivered with cheaper chips from Intel or AMD. Super Micro works with all three, which makes it an excellent judge of the total price/performance-ratio.

- Super Micro has apparently given purchase guarantees to Nvidia and AMD for the right chips, as it can continue to deliver for now while other customers were put on hold by Nvidia in particular.

SMCI shares closed Friday at $905 and had a high of as much as $1,077 over the past year, with a low of $87. Super Micro is a stock for investors with a strong stomach, because it could be a wild ride.

Despite all the attention on AI, the crypto currencies Bitcoin and Ethereum, and in their wake a range of altcoins, remain the strongest risers. Even the BBC is now analyzing crypto as a normal asset class and published this excellent article on Bitcoin and, in particular, the "whales," the big boys, who got into Bitcoin big and seem to be holding on.

Keep an eye on: carbon credits

For those who think crypto is a tricky asset class to fathom, I would like to introduce you to crypto's carbon neutral cousin: carbon credits. The medium-term (think a decade) importance of carbon credits in the transition to a carbon-neutral world is clear, see for example the twenty-one percent increase in the market for carbon credits in Singapore.

But doubts remain about the usefulness of carbon offsets, which is why the BBC explained the issue using the carbon offsets of who else but Taylor Swift. Her Swiftonomics are now almost an investment class of their own, which recently even led to friction between Singapore and some neighboring countries following the rumor that Singapore had paid heavily to Swift to be the only Asian city she performs in during her current tour - as many as six times this week.

Back to carbon credits; Wired rightly stated that much more focus should be placed on carbon removal credits, or removal of CO2 rather than compensation for emissions. Like this promising technology to remove CO2 from the oceans.

According to Morgan Stanley, the carbon credits market will be a $100 billion market by 2030, so that market size combined with the global importance and the potential breakthrough technology involved make carbon credits very interesting in my view.

In conclusion: special shots

The Dutch Drone Gods built a special drone to capture Max Verstappen's Formula One car from unique angles, which succeeded in spectacular fashion. Watch the video here and in addition to the drone, admire the drone pilot's and Max Verstappen's steering skills on a rainy Silverstone. It won't be long before Formula 1 races are captured in this way.

Very clever, 300 kilometers per hour on the straight and then neatly taking the turn. I'm talking about the drone 😉

Finally, the moment that got me laughing on social media this week: basketball legend Charles Barkley is finally on Instagram and was advised by Shaquille O'Neal to tag every photo with the hashtag #onlyfans. To which the unsuspecting Barkley replied; "Only Fans, for only fans of mine?

"Only Fans, for only fans of mine?

Enjoy your Sunday, see you next week!

Categories
AI crypto

Elon Musk and his exes. And Apple CEO Tim Cook lost AI top talent to Google, but strikes blow with savings accounts

This week, almost all tech news seemed to be about artificial intelligence. After all, major innovations in AI capture the imagination and are recognizable to all, whereas a breakthrough in biotechnology, for example, is often literally visible only through a microscope to a limited group of experts.

Why do you need $300 million when you just raised $10 billion?

When $300 million dollars is paid by top investors for just over one (1) percent of OpenAI, the company that is the creator of ChatGPT, it deserves extensive attention. Especially considering that Microsoft invested $10 billion (!) in OpenAI less than three months ago, having already put a billion into the company in 2019. That 11 billion surely hasn't run out yet, so the question arises as to why OpenAI held this additional round of investment.

The main reason OpenAI wants to have a strong relationship with some of the biggest tech investors in the world is the burgeoning battle for the AI market. The time is approaching when really big money is needed, think billions rather than millions, for a company to join the battle of giants such as Google, Apple, Microsoft and Amazon who are all competing in this market. After all, AI is too important for all players to ignore. In fact, for Google, the success of OpenAI is life-threatening. With shareholders behind it like Tiger Global, Sequoia Capital, Andreessen Horowitz, Thrive, K2 Global and Founders Fund (from Peter Thiel, the legendary investor in Facebook and Palantir, among others), OpenAI can now operate independently of partner Microsoft. With an estimated market value of $27 billion to $29 billion, OpenAI is already worth more right now than, to name a crossroad, companies like Spotify and vaccine maker BioNTech, companies that have also successfully capitalized on major developments.

This 'photo' was generated entirely with Midjourney and is eerily real

CEOs Tim Cook and Sundar Pichai fight over AI talent

Meanwhile, in the race for the best AI technology, Apple with Siri and Amazon with Alexa are far behind OpenAI. The Information reported this week that three of Apple's top programmers therefore made the move to Google, despite attempts by Apple CEO Tim Cook to retain them. The personal offer from Alphabet CEO Sundar Pichai, who is committed to catching up with OpenAI, was apparently irresistible. Would any CEO of a European publicly traded company ever have made a personal effort to attract programmers, or to retain them, as Cook and Pichai are doing? I suspect the European gentry, for they are almost all men, feel too big for that.

How difficult it is to make a good AI application proved Snapchat, which received a 1 for the "My AI" feature from users, urging them to remove it from the app. It was not Snap's week, which saw revenue drop after which the stock slumped 17%. Dropbox announced it was laying off 16% of its staff while investing heavily in attracting new AI developers. This indicates that it is difficult, if not impossible, to retrain programmers to become AI developers.

Elon Musk, his X's and his ex

The wait is on for Elon Musk to get involved in the AI war with a company, but he seems too busy trying to ruin Twitter. He does constantly criticize OpenAI and CEO Sam Altman since he sold his stake in OpenAI to Microsoft. It is remarkable, to say the least, that Musk, in an open letter, called for a sort of six-month moratorium in AI development, but in the meantime continues to work on funding his own AI startup, which he alternately calls TruthGPT (as with now unemployed chief Tucker Carlson) or X-AI. That X should normally be in there from Musk; he previously started X.com and, of course, SpaceX. It's lucky it's Tesla and not Texla. His latest son is named X Æ A-Xii (call sign: Bert). And the Æ is in the poor kid's name because it is the elven spelling of the term AI. Musk's baby mama, Canadian artist Grimes, stood out this week by giving permission to use her voice in AI-generated music: "I'll split 50% royalties on any successful AI generated song that uses my voice. Same deal as I would with any artist i collab with. Feel free to use my voice without penalty.' This is especially notable because there is concern that AI will make the entire profession of voice actors obsolete. It will be interesting to follow what the implications will be for singers.

The Apple Card with rounded corners, Steve Jobs wouldn't have wanted it any other way

Finally: Apple is going to make mincemeat of the banks and does it with ... Goldman Sachs?

It had been expected for years and last week it was here: Apple made its entrance into the banking world. Remarkable remains the choice of Goldman Sachs as a partner, because Apple hardly uses the Goldman brand but uses the prestigious bank mainly for the banking license and as a colorless and odorless handler of savings transactions, as a kind of white label. While Apple rarely, if ever, buys market share based on price, when it comes to savings accounts the high interest rate actually stands out: 4.15%, as much as 10 times higher than the US national average. 

What is typical of Apple, however, is its great ease of use. The first step is to apply for an Apple Card, a credit card, which unfortunately is only available in the US for now. All spending via that card will default to 1% to 3% of the purchase amount in the form of what Apple has called "Daily Cash," a balance that is calculated and credited daily. Those who then open a savings account from the Apple Wallet and link it to the Apple Card, an action of no more than a few clicks, will see Daily Cash credited to the savings account daily and automatically receive the high interest rate of 4.15%. The savings account is free, there is no minimum deposit and there are no penalties if balances are withdrawn from the savings account. It is also possible to transfer funds from other banks to the Apple-Goldman savings account.

And precisely the latter is a nightmare for traditional banks. Because while there are other, lesser-known banks, giving even higher savings rates, they are not trusted brands like Apple. The combination of Apple Card with Apple Pay and the Apple Wallet is so seamless and simple that it will be difficult for banks to compete. It seems plausible that European banks will launch a hefty lobby in Brussels, combined with legal action, to make it difficult for Apple to enter the European market in the same way it does in the US.

Event: Consensus 2023

Nearly fifteen thousand people attended the leading crypto event Consensus in Austin, Texas last week, and that doesn't include the types who are too stingy to buy a conference ticket because they think they already know everything and want to tell you that the best networking happens in the pub. The sounds from Austin were universally positive, especially about the quality of the projects that survived the crypto winter. I found the most notable contribution to Consensus, viewed from a distance because I wasn't there myself, to be the interview with journalist Brady Dale, whose book about Sam Bankman-Fried of FTX will soon be published. Dale emphatically points to decentralized finance, DeFi, as the main solution against fraud and mismanagement, precisely where there is no central party like a stock exchange like FTX. I also found it striking that Dale specifically mentions memecoin Dogecoin as a relevant crypto alongside Bitcoin and Ethereum:

'To me, Dogecoin is the chain that said, A story, a character, a concept can have a value, and if a community believes in that character and works together in a distributed way to make the idea bigger, the value of the concept will grow and so will its currency. Dogecoin has really made that clear. It's not just about DOGE, it's about that whole idea of collaboration around a concept, and that's why I'm betting Dogecoin will be the comeback kid of blockchains, again and again, in the near future.

- Brady Dale

Good links

  • Check out this link to some particularly practical prompts to use yourself at ChatGPT.
  • Startup funding is under severe pressure. These four charts show that, and in Miami, investment in startups actually fell more than 90%. Partly a result of the focus in that region on crypto startups, which were struggling.
  • In the Netherlands, more and more investors are asking startup founders not to pay themselves a salary. Here are five reasons why they should.
  • Unknown identifies nearly 1,000 Bitcoin wallets belonging to Russian secret services. Very clever.
  • The U.S. government is about to take over First Republic Bank. I wrote earlier this month about what kind of bank First Republic is. Or was?

Spotlight 9: Meta and Microsoft the big winners of the week

Meta and Microsoft as outliers after good quarterly results

Reader Raoul Kuiper rightly asked me why I did include Bitcoin in this portfolio when I don't own it myself because of its energy consumption and associated carbon emissions. By way of explanation, I created this fictitious Spotlight 9 portfolio to track sentiment in the tech world on a weekly basis. I think when, as happened last week, virtually all major tech companies plus the Dow Jones and S&P 500 are all in the minus, that is relevant to the entire world of technology and innovation. Bitcoin and Ethereum I included because those are the most widely held assets of the hundreds of millions of people investing in crypto worldwide. Of the Spotlight 9, I personally find Microsoft, Apple and Ethereum interesting. The projects and companies I find otherwise fascinating, such as Polygon (MATIC), are usually too small to have an impact on stock market sentiment and the economy and therefore not included in the Spotlight 9.

Amazon, Alphabet (Google), Microsoft and Meta published good quarterly earnings this week, and Microsoft and Meta in particular benefited. Microsoft is expected to benefit greatly from the integration of AI, based in part on technology from OpenAI, into various products and services. Zuckerberg explained to investors that Meta uses a lot of AI to better target their TikTok competitor Instagram Reels, and that struck a chord: Meta shares rose nearly 13% in the last 5 days.

It was, in short, in every way the week of AI.