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NFA Podcast

$2M Oil Tolls in Crypto… While Wallets Get Frozen

Using crypto to pay the Iranian regime $2 million Strait of Hormuz toll was not the crypto use anyone was hoping for in 2026

Circle froze 16 USDC wallets, raising serious concerns about stablecoin control and whether crypto is truly decentralized. In this episode, we break down the USDC freeze, crypto use in the Strait of Hormuz oil trade, AI benchmark failures and what it all means for crypto markets and global risk.

Season 2, Episode 8 is out now:

With oil tankers reportedly paying multi million dollar tolls using crypto rails, digital assets are no longer theoretical. They are being used in high stakes, time critical environments where traditional finance struggles to keep up.

The AI segment highlights a different kind of risk. New research shows that leading models can score highly on visual benchmarks without ever processing actual images. That undermines confidence in widely cited performance metrics and raises serious concerns about deploying these systems in fields like healthcare. At the same time, developments at Anthropic and OpenAI show how competitive pressure is shaping both strategy and reporting.

The episode closes on markets and macro. Oil volatility, a weak crypto market and broader uncertainty all point to a fragile environment. While a recession is not guaranteed, much depends on how quickly geopolitical tensions resolve. Across crypto, AI and global markets, the common theme is clear: systems that were assumed to be stable are now being tested under real pressure.

In the trading competition, Nish has moved into a defensive position after selling Ethereum into USDT, while Michiel is up roughly 42% year to date, driven by just two outperforming assets in an otherwise weak portfolio. The contrast highlights a key market dynamic: returns are highly concentrated, and diversification alone is not protecting investors.

Chapter list

00:00 – Episode preview

00:37 – Introduction

00:59 – Circle freezes USDC wallets

03:10 – Is crypto still decentralized

04:09 – Crypto used in Strait of Hormuz oil trade

06:11 – Political crypto donation bans

07:53 – AI benchmark failure explained

08:36 – Anthropic vs OpenAI and revenue reality

10:08 – Big Tech, regulation and social media risks

13:40 – SpaceX IPO and macro signals

14:10 – Oil price volatility and predictions

15:28 – Crypto market update and sentiment

17:22 – Trading competition update

19:04 – Recession outlook and global impact

21:20 – Outro

The NFA Podcast is not financial advice.